October 2026 general discussion

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Scott says no lol….Tip says we may have already seen our nor’easter…. easy to say when it’s 9-10 days away.  But…

 

4 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Toss

100% toss…for now.

GDM is pretty bullish on a storm developing off the coast, it just doesn’t bring it anywhere close to us. 

[CoastalWx]

2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Be careful…James is watching you. 

We hope and pray, but deep down it sails away. 

[WinterWolf]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We hope and pray, but deep down it sails away. 

Can’t be 100% certain…this year systems want seem to want to hit us.  So we’ll see.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

100% toss…for now.

GDM is pretty bullish on a storm developing off the coast, it just doesn’t bring it anywhere close to us. 

To be clear ... "already" does not = can't happen again.  When I said that, it was purely in support of the poster's assertion and this year 'may have succeed already' - that is/was the context in fair reading...  

but I would caution anyway - seeing as no one else had mentioned this ... - there are very few or even no ensemble members as amplified or even tolerably similar to that Euro's D8+, 00z range - a range typically proven fantasy as an aside.  Lack of support is also true outside of the EPS cluster, U.S. and Canadian punt.  

Having said that, since there is a climate suggestion for front side warm ENSOs somehow enhancing EC cyclogenesis, and this autumn ...definitely circumstantially applies, wisely it's not impossible.  200+ hours leaves time to modulate other guidance.

[Ginx snewx]

Deep freeze Sunday morning wind chills as well.

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Deep freeze Sunday morning wind chills as well.

Sunday morning looks calm. Wind chills Saturday but temps in Low 50s. Meh.

[dryslot]

15 hours ago, codfishsnowman said:

This was the snow I heard about in Maine I guess yesterday but it was way up in the northwest I guess. Anyone get an inch?

I think there was at least that in some spots up in the county if you look at the NOHRSC map,

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Can’t be 100% certain…this year systems want seem to want to hit us.  So we’ll see.

If you look at what the euro did, it’s ridiculous at 500. It decides to move a 500 trough that was moving east and just dig it southwest. Thats just beer.

 

A more likely scenario is a coastal low well offshore. That euro depiction was insane. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Pretty much peak color in the Amherst Northampton area this week.
I’ll take some photos later.