The Iceman Posted Thursday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:08 PM CMC and GFS took a step towards the EE solution but it's crazy how far off they remain from the euro/icon/NAM. Euro leading the way would be quite the coup, no other model was even close at day 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM 7 minutes ago, The Iceman said: CMC and GFS took a step towards the EE solution but it's crazy how far off they remain from the euro/icon/NAM. Euro leading the way would be quite the coup, no other model was even close at day 4. I wonder if the NAM is having it's mid-winter moment wrt putting the low center over the convection which is closer to the coast? Most likely overdone but who can say for sure. The 3k is scary if you loop it. That deep low is taking a hard left at the end and hurricane force winds arent far off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshb32689 Posted Thursday at 05:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:24 PM We’re wrapping up a trip down south. It’s been a chilly, breezy day. Ready to follow this storm home tomorrow night. Some interesting solutions on the table for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted Thursday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:58 PM 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Im going to go ahead and say it....*IF* the Euro, and the NAM particularly have the right idea, this will be top 3 storm for NJ. 1 of course Sandy which most of us will never see again in our lifetimes, 2 being Ash Wednesday 1962. This could easily be #3. Just my wag attm based solely on NAM/Euro combo That 62 storm obliterated the Delmarva beaches (Rehoboth, Bethany, etc.) The pictures of the Henlopen Hotel falling into the Atlantic with the rest of the Boardwalk were insane! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Thursday at 07:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:10 PM New euro ai track is sandy-esque with that hard left turn...N part of NJ in a bad spot, S NJ would probably get the saving grace of an offshore wind component. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Thursday at 07:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:58 PM Euro Op doubles down...holy smokes! Thats worst case scenario for S NJ right there with the prolonged onshore flow, full moon, and system retrograding to the West. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Thursday at 11:42 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:42 PM 6 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Im going to go ahead and say it....*IF* the Euro, and the NAM particularly have the right idea, this will be top 3 storm for NJ. 1 of course Sandy which most of us will never see again in our lifetimes, 2 being Ash Wednesday 1962. This could easily be #3. Just my wag attm based solely on NAM/Euro combo Don't forget about the Blizzard of 1993. I would put that at #2 in my lifetime, since I was born in 1988. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM 4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro Op doubles down...holy smokes! Thats worst case scenario for S NJ right there with the prolonged onshore flow, full moon, and system retrograding to the West. That’s awful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 01:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:47 AM 1 hour ago, hazwoper said: That’s awful Time for a Whopper "value" meal. Thanks for the reminder @hazwoper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Trend today has been for the storm to not only move closer to the coast but father south as well. Not great if anyone was hoping for switch to an offshore flow by Saturday Sunday. Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM I have a flight at PHL on Saturday night to Italy. I hope the storm holds off until at least then. If it doesn't, I might be stuck there for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 52F/DP 46F at 5:30am...windy day coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Picked the wrong weekend to go down to the bay and close the cottage for the season. Ugh. Forecast changed daily and who would have thunk another left hook? I have most things already inside so will go down tonight and get the rest in before the rain. Daughter will be there so we'll just hangout. Only see a small craft advisory posted, but will see what the winds do there. Edited to add: This is the Elk River across from Turkey Point. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Great sunset tonight. Not sure that I've ever seen a full rainbow completely within the clouds. No rain. Beautiful. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago interested to see what this storm brings the area this weekend. looks like rain has already hit the nj coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Latest NBM with model rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Maybe it’s just because there’s still so many leaves but it sounds like the wind is overperforming out there… wish I had an anemometer. Trenton airport has gusted over 40 several times overnight though which is pretty impressive this far inland especially since it’s not the peak. Saw some impressive gusts at the shore too think the highest I saw was 77 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now