CT Valley Snowman Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 HRRR has been trending SW with the convection tonight keeping even SW CT out of the game, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 2 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said: HRRR has been trending SW with the convection tonight keeping even SW CT out of the game, lol. Makes sense with this North Atlantic puke airmass over us . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Makes sense with this North Atlantic puke airmass over us . Severe season ended on May 1st 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Unfortunately another inch of boring rain /downpour incoming here with no lightning except what is seen over NW CT 1" there?? wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Buffalo area getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 32 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Severe season ended on May 1st And will begin Dec 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 14 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: 1" there?? wow Probably overnight. Wish could send it to you and Dendy and Scooter . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 Another stein coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Another stein coming Your N Atlantic ruining it for everyone tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your N Atlantic ruining it for everyone tonight Nothing to do with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nothing to do with that It sure does. Stable atmosphere from the backdoor . We just can’t get into warm sector with instability. Same issue all summer . Even tomorrow will be a struggle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It sure does. Stable atmosphere from the backdoor . We just can’t get into warm sector with instability. Same issue all summer . Even tomorrow will be a struggle No, beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No, beer? Then go buy some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Let me ask the question in a non-contentious manner...will the maritime air over us now destroy these storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Let me ask the question in a non-contentious manner...will the maritime air over us now destroy these storms? Models had decent dynamics with warm air advection generating storms over us a day ago, but now it seems to be diving more into PA and SE NY where better instability is. This is the theme all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models had decent dynamics with warm air advection generating storms over us a day ago, but now it seems to be diving more into PA and SE NY where better instability is. This is the theme all season. Because of the high to our east . They always try to scour out the door airmass too quickly. It’s exactly as I described Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 The Drake gets it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 3 Author Share Posted September 3 Easy to see where that will track. Hopefully we can get at least some isolated storms tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The Drake gets it Does Kendrick agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 11 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Does Kendrick agree? The N Atlantic kills us 9 times out of 10. Especially east of River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Binghamton is gonna gust 75+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Impressive event in upstate NY and PA for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because of the high to our east . They always try to scour out the door airmass too quickly. It’s exactly as I described That’s not true I just explained why. They had storms in a WAA pattern despite SE winds. Now stein. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 3 Author Share Posted September 3 What a line and reactivity gradient. Holy smokes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 BGM didn’t even hit 70 today. So that kills Kevin’s argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 It’s funny how bad we are at convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s funny how bad we are at convection. Don’t look at western NY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 While we’re setting the O/U on audible thunder at 0.5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Tomorrow afternoon/early evening will be our best chance for scattered convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 On 9/1/2026 at 4:35 PM, weatherwiz said: Yup...precisely this. At least for this period, there were some hints the end of last week we could see a bit more flexing of the ridge into our region versus previous instances this summer but that did not happen. It actually looks to happen for Thursday's potential but we get screwed over other ways lol. Its really amazing how when you look at this from a climatological perspective, more often than not, this is exactly what happens and the cutoff is always pretty much the same exact geography. Pretty fascinating from a science perspective Good points, just don't less recency bias influence you! I go back to the big snowstorms this past winter, and you still act like, "never any good winters again!!" 4 lousy snow years/storms until Jan 2026, and you act like it was 40 years! And I hear things like, "PVD gets 37" and I only get 24" -- "WORST STAWM EV-A! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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