Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

[dendrite]

3k not backing down. Looks great.

[Damage In Tolland]

36 minutes ago, dendrite said:

3k not backing down. Looks great.

Now post 12k and H Rcubed 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Now post 12k and H cubed 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dendrite said:

Nam vs world . Can see the dry air press even on these “wet” runs .

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[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Nam vs world . Can see the dry air press even on these “wet” runs .

0.00

How about Rufus? 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

How about Rufus? 

Run off NAM parameters and replacing the NAM. 
 

post the others that are totally dry 

[Typhoon Tip]

Nam is always north of all of the guidance at this range
 

228th time stated

I guess once in a blue moon it’s right, but most of the time it comes south

[Typhoon Tip]

There is some logic in expecting the NAM to be north bias without its ongoing performance… Has to do with a negative north Atlantic oscillation particularly on the western limb. With that being the case the forcing is south so the suppression similar to the GFS is probably a better tele connection for that particular index state.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

There is some logic in expecting the NAM to be north bias without its ongoing performance… Has to do with a negative north Atlantic oscillation particularly on the western limb. With that being the case the forcing is south so the suppression similar to the GFS is probably a better tele connection for that particular index state.

When the NAM is the only Hi res that rains.. you know to toss 

[dendrite]

I’m just trolling, but the 3k isn’t always north.

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’m just trolling, but the 3k isn’t always north.

Yeah, no comment on the 3K

 

Well, that’s a nasty couple of days next week, huh?  The thing is that’s been in models for quite some time the first through the third. Solid teleconnector signal too.

probably just have to mail that in.  Hopefully we can get 2 to 3 inches of basin coverage out of that.  I think it gets mild to warm at the end of that week, though. The real green up thrust.

[WinterWolf]

Everything has a half inch here from Saturday into early Sunday.  Hoping the drier ideas work out.