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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.


Ginx snewx
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39 minutes ago, hooralph said:

Hey Ginx. Here’s the problem with the euro. Central Park got 7” between 0z and 5z (that has 10.5” total). It’s already badly off.

Don’t know what that holds area wide, but I would toss it. 

Hey Jeff that's 10.5 more after 1am hope that helps 

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4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Do you see the returns south of you? You're good to get a minimum of a foot likely 1.5ft. If you were expecting 24-36 I don't know what to tell you. Just enjoy the snow ffs.

Do you people understand I have Less than 3”!?!?  2.75”!  6.5 Hours Into the Storm.  

The Radar has been Tremendous for 5 Hours.  And NO WIND.  No Wind.  (Which I prefer since I don’t at All get you people’s fetish with wind.  It’s Destructive.  Nothing good about it).  

But you guys have 6-10!  NYC where I Left without you guys even knowing had Thunder and Lightning!  Every other Model And the NWS had 24”-30” for 6 Runs leading into this.  AFTER ALL I’VE DEALT WITH the past 11 seasons, NOW this?  A potential Biggest Bust Ever?  

And If I don’t get at Least 18.75”, that means I MISSED the Bigger of the 2 this year when this one looked GUARANTEED to be better than the SWFE, then I’m gonna Lose it.  I’m telling you right now.  

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1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

Do you people understand I have Less than 3”!?!?  2.75”!  6.5 Hours Into the Storm.  

The Radar has been Tremendous for 5 Hours.  And NO WIND.  No Wind.  (Which I prefer since I don’t at All get you people’s fetish with wind.  It’s Destructive.  Nothing good about it).  

But you guys have 6-10!  NYC where I Left without you guys even knowing had Thunder and Lightning!  Every other Model And the NWS had 24”-30” for 6 Runs leading into this.  AFTER ALL I’VE DEALT WITH the past 11 seasons, NOW this?  A potential Biggest Bust Ever?  

And If I don’t get at Least 18.75”, that means I MISSED the Bigger of the 2 this year when this one looked GUARANTEED to be better than the SWFE, then I’m gonna Lose it.  I’m telling you right now.  

I'm pretty impressed so far.....foggy appearence, great band incoming...

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1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said:

Not sure where this data is coming from, but the 1AM NBM continues to say game on.

nbm-qpf_acc-imp-us_state_ne_s-2026022301-29.png

nbm-snowfall_acc-imp-us_state_ne_s-2026022301-29.png

8PM (1z), not 1AM.

believe this has a collection of lagged ensembles, aka prior 18z runs that were juiced are likely still embedded within this output.

someone correct me if wrong. 

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Just now, CCHurricane said:

8PM (1z), not 1AM.

believe this has a collection of lagged ensembles, aka prior 18z runs that were juiced are likely still embedded within this output.

someone correct me if wrong. 

Yeah I realized this after I posted.  Need the 7z version, which ain't out yet.

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3 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

8PM (1z), not 1AM.

believe this has a collection of lagged ensembles, aka prior 18z runs that were juiced are likely still embedded within this output.

someone correct me if wrong. 

That being said - the NBM showed 30" right before go time.  If that doesn't come close to fruition, NOAA/NWS really needs to take a look at what inputs it's using for snowfall.  It's supposed to be one of the primary tools they use for issuing forecasts, from what I've read.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

How about just checking the 08z radar? Word on the street is it has a great handle on what is happening 

Damn straight.  I have like 10 tabs open.  BOX, OKZ, Regional Mosaic, Sub-Regional Mosaic, and the SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis map of 850 - 700 frontogenesis.  But still looking at models too, with 15 hours to go on this storm.

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