Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[Solution Man]

Mod-heavy through 63

[Terpeast]

Very nick tuck. northern Delmarva gets the goods

[Weather Will]

7 pm Sunday 

[Terpeast]

foot plus for dc metro, more towards the bay and delmarva (2 feet)

I'd mentally cut those amounts by 20-30% considering daytime snow and temps.

[Solution Man]

990 of Delmarva at 66, she’s still a beaut. We may have lost a bit of qpf, not sure yet

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z GFS did half a tick east but remarkably consistent now for a day.

[Terpeast]

Just now, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z GFS did half a tick east but remarkably consistent now got a day.

I think gfs and euro camps are starting to meet in the middle. Hopefully the middle is as beefy in qpf as this

[BlizzardNole]

LOL if I have to chase to Calvert for this before even moving into the new house.  Man, the S/E suburbs lately!

[Weather Will]

Surface temps around freezing most of Sunday with winds gusting to 30 Sunday evening.

[Terpeast]

GEFS more interaction in the mean between ns and ss out west at 30

[MDScienceTeacher]

5 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

foot plus for dc metro, more towards the bay and delmarva (2 feet)

I'd mentally cut those amounts by 20-30% considering daytime snow and temps.

And then maybe cut that in half from there considering the overall "there is no fucking way this is happening" factor.. but hey.. if is snows 8-10 inches, I would be more than happy.

[Interstate]

Reminds me of Storm 2 in 2010

[Terpeast]

Just now, MDScienceTeacher said:

And then maybe cut that in half from there considering the overall "there is no fucking way this is happening" factor.. but hey.. if is snows 8-10 inches, I would be more than happy.

Well this is Maestro's storm, so maybe it is really happening! 

[Weather Will]

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think gfs and euro camps are starting to meet in the middle. Hopefully the middle is as beefy in qpf as this

Cautiously optimistic that the GFS will not completely cave to the out to sea solution.

[Solution Man]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Cautiously optimistic that the GFS will not completely cave to the out to sea solution.

Yes, I would find it hard to believe in a complete cave now. Refinement mode now. It will wobble but it seems locked in. The GFS has been like a pit bull for days.

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z RGEM looks more GFSesque but surface temps are warmer cutting back on accumulation.

[Solution Man]

Who started thisanyway

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

So what changed overnight? Bout to go workout don’t have time for a full read. 

[Weather Will]

5 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Yes, I would find it hard to believe in a complete cave now. Refinement mode now. It will wobble but it seems locked in. The GFS has been like a pit bull for days.

Agreed, but all eyes on Dr. No today....how much further,  if at all, will it cave.

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

So what changed overnight? Bout to go workout don’t have time for a full read. 

 Other model moving towards GFS, GFS REMAINS ROCK SOLID

[Solution Man]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Agreed but all eyes on Dr. No today....how far if any will it cave.

That model drives me crazy

[MDScienceTeacher]

10 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Well this is Maestro's storm, so maybe it is really happening! 

I havent been taking it seriously until literally just now waking up and seeing the 6z.. it is good to see you on board.. I guess i am in.. its only 36 more hours of emotional investment at this point.. why not?

[Weather Will]

UK still horrible at 6Z but did tick west.  Delmarva gets heavy rain.

[Terpeast]

qpf/snow ticked up (or west) with 6z gefs

[TSSN+]

USA gave all the other models bad data and only gfs got the right data so it can look good for once lol 

[snowfan]

[Chris78]

10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

USA gave all the other models bad data and only gfs got the right data so it can look good for once lol 

Real nice jump NW with the precip shield and heavies

 

[Herb@MAWS]

31 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Well this is Maestro's storm, so maybe it is really happening! 

And it t ain’t over until the fat lady sings. 

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z GEFS

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z GEFS

Lots of major hits in there, I choose 26…beat down for all