Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[Amped]

Folks

[Interstate]

Not to mention it is in here at 8AM in the morning

[Solution Man]

Just now, CAPE said:

We need to keep reminding ourselves- these are simulations of what could happen. 

At least we are creeping ever so close.

[CAPE]

LOL

[CAPE]

6-10" and call it a winter. Fuck I'll take any snow.

[Interstate]

10PM would be fun

[Solution Man]

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, Interstate said:

No to mention it is in here at 8AM in the morning

Gotta deal with reality- I have to drive 30 mins to work to teach a class that's starts on Monday morning- all the students will be there already. In cases like this in the past I get a room and stay there ahead of the event. Lets see what the Euro does today- its not perfect but more times than not is has the 'more correct' idea.

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Could be rain in a few runs

[Ji]

We need to keep reminding ourselves- these are simulations of what could happen. 

If a model is this wrong 72 hours out it should probably be retired

[Solution Man]

Just now, CAPE said:

Could be rain in a few runs

That would be a huge sad face. 

[Ji]

6-10" and call it a winter. Fuck I'll take any snow.

Early March May have a more viable threat lol

[CAPE]

Just now, Ji said:

If a model is this wrong 72 hours out it should probably be retired

In a few years maybe all the physics based models will be, other than short range hi res.

[Ji]

That would be a huge sad face. 

That would be better for the western weenies

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

That would be better for the western weenies

For once, we need a forum wide pleaser. Maybe too much to ask

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Did anything else trend better overnight? Looks like the ai euro did. 

[anotherman]

If a model is this wrong 72 hours out it should probably be retired

I was just thinking this. Absurd to think that it’s advertising this extreme of an event and it’s going to be dead wrong. And we’re close to the event.

[Duca892]

Any update on 6z EURO?

[CAPE]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Did anything else trend better overnight? Looks like the ai euro did. 

The ens mean looks more sensible- has the most snow in the climo favored areas

[Solution Man]

Just now, Duca892 said:

Any update on 6z EURO?

We wait

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

2 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Any update on 6z EURO?

6:30 am 

[Ji]

The ens mean looks more sensible- has the most snow in the climo favored areas

I’m surprised that miserable Will hadn’t posted the icon

[Amped]

9 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Could be rain in a few runs

Thats one tick away from 30" from Washington to Boston. Too bad its an outlier and its probably smoking something.

[CAPE]

Just looking at the 0z EPS panels- there is a definite increase in the number of members that have a significant coastal low close enough to the coast compared to 12z yesterday.

[Ji]

Just looking at the 0z EPS panels- there is a definite increase in the number members that have a significant coastal low close enough to the coast compared to 12z yesterday.

What’s crazy is the things that fuel the storm and track are only 42 hours away

Something has to give right?

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

I’m surprised that miserable Will hadn’t posted the icon

Because its hideous lol

[aldie 22]

22 minutes ago, Ji said:

That would be better for the western weenies

Ive stopped paying attention because all of the I-81 boys told me we are getting skunked out here. Congrats to eastern Loudoun 

[Ji]

Because its hideous lol

Exactly lol

[Weather Will]

20 minutes ago, Ji said:

I’m surprised that miserable Will hadn’t posted the icon

I got some sleep.  Why are you in such a fowl mood.  GFS is really good!

[Quasievil]

I know that the GooFuS is drunk but the 6z is pure porno. Obviously, I’m near the Bay so these rates would be insane. The key - Would Be. Still, it’s fun to see this.