“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

You ever look in a storm's eye, Chief?

Show me the euro has a storm storm storm, I’m tired and I want to go to bed.

I saw the GFS about an hour ago and it’s  gone right to my head. 

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, I'm not playing that stupid game this go around.

Nope, Going to need more then just a one run showing, And i don't care how many days out we are, When things go right you see some direct hits with models and you have some east, And when its all said and done you get them moving to a consensus in the middle but we have had none of that.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Show me the euro has a storm storm storm, I’m tired and I want to go to bed.

I saw the GFS about an hour ago and it’s  gone right to my head. 

"You see this scar? Winter of 2023... She broke my heart."

[brooklynwx99]

also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent 

this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave 

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent 

this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave 

Looks like it was a colossal fail on all guidance though, I mean, What model had it close to right?

[The 4 Seasons]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent 

this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave 

i think they all did from what ive seen. was just looking at the GFS/GEM/NAM they were all pretty bad 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looks like it was a colossal fail on all guidance though, I mean, What model had it close to right?

lol

[qg_omega]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looks like it was a colossal fail on all guidance though, I mean, What model had it close to right?

GFS was better, CMC and Euro were very bad. 

[Masswx]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looks like it was a colossal fail on all guidance though, I mean, What model had it close to right?

Euro ai 

[dryslot]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

i think they all did from what ive seen. was just looking at the GFS/GEM/NAM they were all pretty bad 

This was just an odd evolution for this, It was dying on arrival and just a thin ribbon too.

[Masswx]

If this thing stays here or moves west at 0z I’ll be very happy but I just don’t think that will happen

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

GFS was better, CMC and Euro were very bad. 

Even short term models failed.

[brooklynwx99]

GFS probably did the best, RGEM at least picked up on the fail yesterday 12z. euro was bad the whole way

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent 

this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave 

Yes, true. Hopefully that has an impact. I think if it does we see a favorable move at 00z.

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, Masswx said:

Euro ai 

Yes, EURO AI nailed this non-event...and it still sucks for the weekend.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Even yesterday, EURO AI had no one getting more than an inch or two...even in the Berkshires.

[Kitz Craver]

 Neither robot interested, troubling indeed

[MuddyWx]

21 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent 

this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave 

100mi fail within 72hrs

[brooklynwx99]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, EURO AI nailed this non-event...and it still sucks for the weekend.

not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well 

[vortex95]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Show me the euro has a storm storm storm, I’m tired and I want to go to bed.

I saw the GFS about an hour ago and it’s  gone right to my head. 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I think Tblizz is your Dad. Need to discuss with wife. 

Lmao. This made me laugh

[Go Kart Mozart]

Nor'easter coming, bad news for Madison Avenue, stop playing with yourself Hoopah!

[Masswx]

9 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

 Neither robot interested, troubling indeed

The gfs ai is deffinetly worse but the euro ai did not do too well with the 25th-26th event it would make me feel better is the euro ai was better 

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Guy has 4 wives like a Saudi Prince

He brings a ruckus to the ladies!

[The 4 Seasons]

14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well 

i've noticed that with other storms like Jan 25-26th

but isn't always the case like Jan 18-19th, they latched on to that earlier than OPs

[qg_omega]

28 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well 

Ai has crushed the OPs actually

[MuddyWx]

looking for more updated data.. but yea the AI models have been impressive at H5 compared to the traditional models. Here's D6 data with GFS vs AIGFS from late 2025 and AIFS vs IFS July-Aug 2025

[40/70 Benchmark]

58 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well 

Not in tonight's (non) event.

[dryslot]

If only the storms would happen in the mid term it would be spot on, But alas.

[Masswx]

Praying for good 0z