WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 30 minutes ago, Uniblab said: That's where I am! I have Staten Island at 26 inches I hope I bust low lol that would be amazing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 18z NBM (v.5.0): Note: V.4.3, which will be replaced this spring, shows 25” for Central Park. The newer version with the more realistic snow-liquid ratios has been very steady. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, donsutherland1 said: 18z NBM (v.5.0): Note: V.4.3, which will be replaced this spring, shows 25” for Central Park. The newer version with the more realistic snow-liquid ratios has been very steady. Don can you post this with SEPA in the Philadelphia forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IYC77 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Beginning to accumulate in Brooklyn Sent from my SM-S926U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Been snowing pretty steady in Manhattan for 3-4 hours now, roads and surfaces are still mostly clear. Finally starting to see some stickage on the dirt tree root things on the sidewalk. 34th @ 7th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 9 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Decided to go to my parents house in Galloway. About 10 miles north of Atlantic city inland about 5 miles from Ocean. Ripping snow here the last hr ground covered an roads starting to cave My Grandmother lived in Pomona. About 3 miles from Stockton. Spent many Summers down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Don can you post this with SEPA in the Philadelphia forum I will post the PA map. Unfortunately, there is no map that zooms in on SE PA, which is surprising given that Philadelphia is a major city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Been snowing pretty steady in Manhattan for 3-4 hours now, roads and surfaces are still mostly clear. Finally starting to see some stickage on the dirt tree root things on the sidewalk. 34th @ 7thSnow sticking to even grass or dirt in the city before it turns dark is a good sign for accumulations. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 28 minutes ago, Nibor said: For north and west folks that deform band on the latest HRRR is also modeled on the RAP and FV3. No guarantee but I think that's the back edge of the big totals. Going to be close out here in west central Morris County. Glad I'm not any further west. Wish that surface low was more inside the BM but we take what we can get. Coastal and more eastern locations are in good shape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregRups21 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Light snow started up Montvale nj . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, Nibor said: Good luck have fun. Should be a great spot for this one. Thanks I appreciate it!! It's really coming down now big fat cotton ball flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: My Grandmother lived in Pomona. About 3 miles from Stockton. Spent many Summers down there. Yea I'm not far! I'm right off rt 30!! Should be fun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 13 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astoriaweather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Wow. It's coming. Rehoboth Beach Delaware. https://www.instagram.com/302.life/reel/DVEme8QDzKh/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Dropping off a few orders for work as I drive up through Brooklyn to Bergen County. Williamsburg Brooklyn has roads and cars covered now with an inch maybe. 34 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 24 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Ratios is a big part of it. People in here always dismiss them. This will have them up north where you are. And further south and southeast there's more QPF in general to get them to their forecast. And then banding is sure to set up somewhere relentlessly allowing select areas make it to the high ends of their forecast. . this was shared take a look While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2/22 18z RRFS still snowing by 11AM tomorrow 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Yea I'm not far! I'm right off rt 30!! Should be fun here She was very close to where Jimmy Leads intersects with Pomona Rd. Enjoy the storm. Certainly very historic for that part of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 hour ago, Dark Star said: Yikes. Is a dry slot possible sometime after midnight? One advantage of a further south/east track is any potential dry-slot is shunted the same direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, NJwx85 said: She was very close to where Jimmy Leads intersects with Pomona Rd. Enjoy the storm. Certainly very historic for that part of NJ. I know exactly where that's at. I'm off pitney right off 30 by the pitney pub. I'm sure you've been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 NAM crusher at 18z. Still going strong at this hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Boxing Day had 2-4” per hour rates under the heaviest banding. This should be in the same neighborhood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 21 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 18z 10:1 Like look of that western band from the NY/NJ border right down to near Cape May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, EasternLI said: NAM crusher at 18z. Still going strong at this hour. Holy cannoli 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Wxbear25 said: One advantage of a further south/east track is any potential dry-slot is shunted the same direction He’s been trolling all morning. There’s no dry slot coming. The mid level lows never get close enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, MJO812 said: Holy cannoli Anyone East or the DE River is in great shape. Even West of there will be decent. The cutoff won’t be as sharp as Boxing Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 One thing that has me worried is the warmth and almost march like quality to this storm so far. It has been snowing since I woke up with grass still showing. Not saying this is the case for this storm, but in my experience in NY area, great storms dont look or feel this way at start 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hmdeutsch98 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Been snowing steadily for the past 3ish hours now. Accum on non pavement surfaces has started. I'm UWS, 2 blocks from Central Park. 31.8 Degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, the_other_guy said: One thing that has me worried is the warmth and almost march like quality to this storm so far. Ive been snowing since I woke up with grass still showing. Not saying this is the case for this storm, but in my experience in NY area, great storms dont look or feel this way at start Temps are crashing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2/22 18z RRFS Snow is a undetermoined algorithm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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