NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said: Boxing Day still seems like one of the best analogs to me and the same model led the way on both. If its modeling holds for this storm the GFS will get an A+ for it - it wants to retire a winner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, nycsnow said: Like the look of this. Will get the nuclear totals solidly into NWNJ. Almost go time. 12Z Mesos will start really zoning in on this one way or the other. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 14 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Start time guesstimate anyone ? 8 am ?????? and when does she get cranking is it in the afternoon or at night ? I think if you're north of 195 it's snizzly for a bit. Non accumulating snow until early afternoon, cranks as it gets dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This will be the longest stretch of solid snow cover over 1 inch that I can remember in my area. Minus where winds blew snow to nearly the grass... wow and not hitting 40 since jan 22... wonder how long can keep this record going!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1-1.75 QPF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Monty said: I think if you're north of 195 it's snizzly for a bit. Non accumulating snow until early afternoon, cranks as it gets dark. north of I-95 ?? please explain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 14 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said: @donsutherland1 Good morning, the late-"Icehater," a great poster on the old NYC Metro forum wrote that the temperature during the "Lindsey Storm" of February, 1969 hovered around 34 F and never went below freezing. Would you have temperature data for that storm for CPK or other points? FD The low temperatures were: EWR: 24 ISP: 27 JFK: 26 LGA: 26 NYC: 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just saw this on Facebook and I'm not going lie I really like the spread Maybe a little more in jersey area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 However unlikely this may be. If any of those insane western sref members were ever to actually take place. I'll see you all after we rebuild all infrastructure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, NEG NAO said: north of I-95 ?? please explain 195 is like exit 100 on the parkway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Are models in agreement on start time? I thought the 0z nam was aggressive in getting snow going tomorrow morning. Have modeld backed off on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: 195 is like exit 100 on the parkway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Blizzardo said: 195 is like exit 100 on the parkway yes in southern Monmouth County - know it well lived in Northern Ocean and traveled to work in Farmingdale NJ for years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: 195 is like exit 100 on the parkway 98. 100 is SR-33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS warmest at 15z (10:00 Sunday morning) lowest (29) at 12z Mon / 7AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: north of I-95 ?? please explain That's a 1 not an I. I think intensity is light enough for the NYC metro that not much accumulates until mid afternoon. There's not much forcing away from the sfc low until all the energy gets into the trof and it detonates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. T. Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: 195 is like exit 100 on the parkway Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ (moved this year) and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Mr. T. said: Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm. i knew it was either one of those...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 minutes ago, EasternLI said: However unlikely this may be. If any of those insane western sref members were ever to actually take place. I'll see you all after we rebuild all infrastructure. That track and intensity verbatim would be 2-3 ft area wide. Incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Mr. T. said: Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ (moved this year) and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm. See, you understand! Haven't had a 10+ snow since 2018 (I wasn't here for Jan 2022) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Mr. T. said: Pretty much. It's exit 98. I used to live in Toms River, NJ and hated how it didn't snow there for the past 3 to 5 years except once. Wish I could go there one more time as it much jackpot for this storm. will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Prue11 said: Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30” Possibly more if the Nam is to be believed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: Someone on the coast is going to get pummeled with 30” Not right along the coast in Monmouth or Ocean - I bet there is a mixing or change over at some point for at least a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, Monty said: That's a 1 not an I. I think intensity is light enough for the NYC metro that not much accumulates until mid afternoon. There's not much forcing away from the sfc low until all the energy gets into the trof and it detonates. Yes plus temps a little above freezing means probably white rain in NYC until early-mid afternoon. I was surprised rhe blizzard warning starts 6 am but I guess that's as a precaution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: will be interesting to see how the barrier islands in Ocean County do with this storm - I remember traveling west from Silverton which had 1 inch to Southern Lakewood - 7 miles away which had 7 inches from a storm I'm going to try and get into IBSP Monday (research purposes). I feel somewhere between there and Squan will be the bullseye. Matter of finding somewhere that doesn't have massive drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Long range HRRR has a crusher on the 12z run 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Sorry for posting such a question but struggling to make a decision: currently in the Berkshires, ok to head back (3 hour drive) tomorrow morning at around 9? It does appear the heavier stuff arrives in the early afternoon but not certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: Not right along the coast in Monmouth or Ocean - I bet there is a mixing or change over at some point for at least a while I don't think so with this one. If anything it'll be a rain at start to heavy snow scenario, not prolonged rain during height of storm anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now