Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[GreyHat]

Just now, stormtracker said:

 

AI Overview:

 

In the American Revolutionary War, while the iconic tricorn (or cocked) hat was standard, popular color choices included black, grey, and tan (or "tobacco") felt, providing a less uniform, more practical look for soldiers. Grey tricorn hats were common among militia and infantry, offering functionality, such as channeling water. 

Thank you for the history lesson. Much appreciated. 

[Kay]

Just now, stormtracker said:

 

AI Overview:

 

In the American Revolutionary War, while the iconic tricorn (or cocked) hat was standard, popular color choices included black, grey, and tan (or "tobacco") felt, providing a less uniform, more practical look for soldiers. Grey tricorn hats were common among militia and infantry, offering functionality, such as channeling water. 

Could also be a Civil War re-enactor

[wasnow215]

4 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Don't shoot the messenger. 

The best thing about those who are Mets, you can be 100% wrong just about all the time. Still keep your job.

That (100% wrong..) cliché is not only corny but it's totally untrue. Any meteorologist on their worst day is better than you at forecasting on your best day. I'm not sure, but you sound like you could be a teenager so my encouragement to you would be to post less and read more. A lot more. I've learned so much the past 14 years on here by just reading and realizing there is so much to the science of meteorology. And I probably understand about 2-5% of it still.

[midatlanticweather]

2 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Don't shoot the messenger. 

The best thing about those who are Mets, you can be 100% wrong just about all the time. Still keep your job.

Dude. You are just not getting it. If you listen to and learn from the meteorologists you will see that there are reasons for issues with the forecast. Meteorology is an inexact science but using and science and not just reading a model and trusting it at face value with logic and reasoning will change everything. And informed hobbyists can do the same. Criticizing people that have taken the time to learn physics and interpretation of models and recognizing patterns with learning that far excedes the layman gets respect. I dunno.. You have not been well accepted here. You need analysis, deeper thoughts, comparisons to factors, explanation for what you see.. Or ask questions!! But think when you ask and make them thoughtful. 

[TSSN+]

11 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Don't shoot the messenger. 

The best thing about those who are Mets, you can be 100% wrong just about all the time. Still keep your job.

I thought coming on here and posting crap posts and rippin on Mets was a big no no? Is this just allowed now? This guy needs a break. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

While hopefully not correct the ICON is a realistic fail scenario with the coastal bombing just a tad too late for us.  Again, not saying this is going to happen or that the ICON is a good model but it's a realistic way this could not work out for us. 

[stormtracker]

6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I thought coming on here and posting crap posts and rippin on Mets was a big no no? Is this just allowed now? This guy needs a break. 

It is getting kinda messed up tho.   Like first Rev and now Rev ripping on the glue that holds this place together.   Calling them junk scientist know nothing who are bad at what they do.   Why come to a board centered around a science and then trashing the scientist.  Like get the fuck on.

[baltosquid]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It is getting kinda messed up tho.   Like first Rev and now Rev ripping on the glue that holds this place together.   Calling them junk scientist know nothing who are bad at what they do.   Why come to a board centered around a science and then trashing the scientist.  Like get the fuck on.

I suspect they suffer from the common modern ailment of “I did my own research and…”

[LeesburgWx]

ICON is being dissected like its the Euro. Come on folks. Show the snow maps and let's move on to the next in line model

[TSSN+]

Back to weather. Gfs nearing important hours 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

AI gfs looks good gets us with CCB

[bncho]

Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

AI gfs looks good gets us with CCB

way too warm dude

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Just now, bncho said:

way too warm dude

lol if we get CCB and it’s 42 oh well we can’t win 

[LP08]

Primary to Pittsburgh is no good for temps on the AIGFS lol

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

AI gfs looks good gets us with CCB

Yeah, but takes primary slp pretty far north warming us. Still turns to snow, and heavy for a while, but accumulations would be reduced due to temps.

[baltosquid]

AIGFS looks very similar to 06z. CCB goods/greats are a tad east but I’d categorize the small change in low placement as noise at this range, unless the deterministic and other guidance do the same thing. But again, very minor shift.

 

edit: did not see the temps, that would suck

 

edit 2: I still think a massive latitude difference like that between the primary and coastal is a little much. Just have to hope it ends up meaning the primary tracks further south rather than the coastal further north.

[mappy]

Friendly request: if there’s obvious trolling going on from posters, please report it. Us mods aren’t always here, don’t always read each thread and catch things. If it doesn’t get reported, then we don’t see it if we come in a thread pages later. So report it, even if the mods in this subforum don’t see it, another mod elsewhere may and may act faster. 

[TSSN+]

Aigfs north op gfs south 

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Primary to Pittsburgh is no good for temps on the AIGFS lol

Only model to take it that far north....at least for now.

[SnowenOutThere]

GFS will probably be worse. Less intense vort/upper low over the plains

[LP08]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Only model to take it that far north....at least for now.

Don't think his OP brother will be joining him for a Steelers game...for now.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

GFS will probably be worse. Less intense vort/upper low over the plains

Looks pretty good 

[bncho]

This isn't that bad?

[stormtracker]

Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run 

[bncho]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run 

It's a CAPE and @AlexD1990 special

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Looks pretty good 

Yeah i jumped the gun. Was half paying attention and compared it to 6z.  In the beginning they had me, ngl

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run 

Closet warmanista!

[Jake Wx]

good god 12z gfs

[baltosquid]

Seems to split the difference between 00z and 06z. Would take.

or if you’re on the coast it looks better

[SnowenOutThere]

Eh I disagree that it is a good step. If we were to move one more tick this way we lose enough intensity to really get good CCB and dynamic cooling. I would prefer a stronger and more south storm than a weaker and more south storm.