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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino


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The UKMET, which pretty much nailed the 2023 ONI peak of ~+2.0, just updated for Sept: it peaks at ~+3.3 in Nov:

IMG_2458.png.50a59dd821388d0f8de0e50fbabfea38.png

 

 The prior run (Aug) had peaked at only +3.1:

IMG_2442.png.1442e9a8814666496d3a913896e864f0.png

 

Regarding Nino 1+2, it also strengthened:

New run: a little >+4 (this like for 3.4 above is not relative and thus doesn’t taken into account GW well):

IMG_2459.png.d26667d52e35508fa0e2193523c8884d.png
 

Prior run (Aug): ~+3.8

IMG_2460.png.05155e9f00315a814ff2024f7a16daa1.png

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13 minutes ago, GaWx said:

The UKMET, which pretty much nailed the 2023 ONI peak of ~+2.0, just updated for Sept: it peaks at ~+3.3 in Nov:

IMG_2458.png.50a59dd821388d0f8de0e50fbabfea38.png

 

 The prior run (Aug) had peaked at only +3.1:

IMG_2442.png.1442e9a8814666496d3a913896e864f0.png

 

Regarding Nino 1+2, it also strengthened:

New run: a little >+4

IMG_2459.png.d26667d52e35508fa0e2193523c8884d.png
 

Prior run (Aug): ~+3.8

IMG_2460.png.05155e9f00315a814ff2024f7a16daa1.png

How about region 4?

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

How about region 4?

Nino 4 on latest UKMET strengthened slightly from a peak of ~+1.3 in Sep on the Aug run to a peak of ~+1.4 in Nov on the new run:

Aug run: peak of ~+1.3 in Sep

IMG_2463.png.7311e299b24d736e848e6179a89eded7.png
 

Sep run: peak of ~+1.4 in Nov

IMG_2462.png.e124cddc50ec2b303443db3d5fbcec64.png

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