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The Annual Countdown to May 1st Thread ©


weatherwiz
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IMG_0947.thumb.jpeg.f70739e9656e7f188d458685cabdd848.jpeg

2% Tornado

 ...Northeast...
   A low-amplitude disturbance associated with an ongoing MCS near Lake
   Ontario this morning will move east into the Northeast during the
   day.  Cloud breaks and low-level warm/moist advection will
   contribute to a destabilizing airmass by midday.  Veering and
   strengthening winds with height will support storm organization,
   including the potential for supercells.  Eventually a band of storms
   is forecast to evolve by mid-late afternoon with wind damage being
   the primary risk.  Have introduced low hail/tornado probabilities to
   account for hazards associated with supercells.

 

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I'll post this on the general forum, but since this is relevant for NNE, I'll post it here.

On 6/26, MSC will begin storm-specific SVR and TOR warnings. See here:

https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/doc/genots/2026/04/21/NOCN04_CWAO_211100___07621

This is good b/c before you'd see huge area outlined in warnings on apps like RadarScope. Now they will be smaller and more focused.

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5 hours ago, vortex95 said:

I'll post this on the general forum, but since this is relevant for NNE, I'll post it here.

On 6/26, MSC will begin storm-specific SVR and TOR warnings. See here:

https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/doc/genots/2026/04/21/NOCN04_CWAO_211100___07621

This is good b/c before you'd see huge area outlined in warnings on apps like RadarScope. Now they will be smaller and more focused.

This is wonderful!

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