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The Annual Countdown to May 1st Thread ©


weatherwiz
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2% Tornado

 ...Northeast...
   A low-amplitude disturbance associated with an ongoing MCS near Lake
   Ontario this morning will move east into the Northeast during the
   day.  Cloud breaks and low-level warm/moist advection will
   contribute to a destabilizing airmass by midday.  Veering and
   strengthening winds with height will support storm organization,
   including the potential for supercells.  Eventually a band of storms
   is forecast to evolve by mid-late afternoon with wind damage being
   the primary risk.  Have introduced low hail/tornado probabilities to
   account for hazards associated with supercells.

 

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