eyewall Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Raleigh will probably see token flakes and a glaze. I would suspect the decnt accumulations are most likely from Roxboro through Roanoke Rapids and EC through southeastern VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 15 minutes ago, eyewall said: Raleigh will probably see token flakes and a glaze. I would suspect the decnt accumulations are most likely from Roxboro through Roanoke Rapids and EC through southeastern VA. It’s going to be extremely band-dependent with isolated accumulation but whoever gets a band can probably do 2 maybe 3”. Agreed, think border counties/Southern Va best shot. Will not be widespread accumulation anywhere 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago RAP illustrates my thoughts. Need to be able to get moisture and the cold to push far enough south, before cold/dry air shuts off the moisture. Moisture North of the warm front may be somewhat limited but concentrated in a band or two that may over perform. The RAP is a bit further north than the rest of guidance, so I would expect the green zone to set up right along I85 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 12z UK hits southern VA good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 36 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Some pretty insane banding showing up on the hires RGEM How did RGEM perform with the last storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: How did RGEM perform with the last storm? The hires RGEM killed it on the last two storms. Especially the one two weekends ago, but here's a run from Friday that did fairly well as well 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12z CMC solid for southern Va 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12z GFS... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 12z UK hits southern VA good Think you’re in a decent spot to get something from this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 12Z Euro: looks good in the Triad 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro really hammers Ashe and Allegheny counties! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still a lot of run to run variability on where that one little band shows up. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro AIFS ensemble: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This should be a fun one to radar watch tomorrow evening. Someone could get a pretty decent band out of this and some decent accumulation, but probably won’t where know until it sets up. Think anyone in northern half of NC has a chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The regular Euro ensemble from 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kc4wsd Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This should be a fun one to radar watch tomorrow evening. Someone could get a pretty decent band out of this and some decent accumulation, but probably won’t where know until it sets up. Think anyone in northern half of NC has a chance Official forecast model: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, kc4wsd said: Official forecast model: Putting all my money on wherever the HRRR doesn't have the band 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, kc4wsd said: Official forecast model: This is accurate lol. This will be one I’d consider a bonus event- if you get snow great, if not oh well. Not gonna make up for the wake county miss even if we got the best band but at same point this could have a few surprises and maybe someone gets a significant localized snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Speaking of which, the HRRR joins many other models in painting the southern band directly over Guilford county. Schrödinger's snow band if you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, eyewall said: The regular Euro ensemble from 12z: No need for me to even radar watch tomorrow night...not doing that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago NAM snatched from X 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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