GaWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Well, what do you know?! The model consensus is increasingly honing in on the threat of a significant snowstorm for Feb 4-5th. As of now, this threat is by far the highest in VA and NC. No rest for the weary! @buckeyefan1please pin this. Thank you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, GaWx said: Well, what do you know?! The model consensus is increasingly honing in on the threat of a significant snowstorm for Feb 4-5th. As of now, this threat is by far the highest in VA and NC. No rest for the weary! @buckeyefan1please pin this. Thank you. nothing "significant" about this little threat. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNoseHater Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago We’re back! Looks like some warmth might be coming in behind this at least for that time between the 10th and 15 February…at least. So let’s get it while the getting is good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 21 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: nothing "significant" about this little threat. This is the SE and to me the threat of a large area of 1”+ outside the mountains is significant though it’s not currently a threat of something “major”. How many of these occur each winter on average? Not many. And it has the chance to be rather impactful. That fits my definition of “significant”. It doesn’t matter that it doesn’t have near the potential of the historic storm of this past weekend and also probably not the potential of the prior storm. In addition, this one isn’t threatening nearly as large an area (nowhere near me, for example). But it still could be significant wherever it hits if and when it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ObiWanKarlNobi Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: nothing "significant" about this little threat. If we get another inch of snow, Wake County will cancel school for the rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: That’s actually a pretty big increase from 0z right? About the same. 00Z was 56% and 20%, respectively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago AI models have been pretty consistently bullish on this system. BL temps the major issue but they are pretty impressive at 500mb, kinda what 12z GFS went to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 06Z EPS has 64% chance of at least a trace of snow at RDU. 18% chance of 1". It is the feeling of being called to coach a middle school championship game after losing the superbowl. I am thinking Roxboro could pick up an inch or two IF it is barely cold enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGTim Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago @GaWx I GOT to know if you got snow this weekend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 58 minutes ago Author Share Posted 58 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, NGTim said: @GaWx I GOT to know if you got snow this weekend? Hey Tim, Thanks for asking. Yes I did and it was a very nice hit of 0.75” (most winters have none). For more details if interested: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Euro AI for the Potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 51 minutes ago Author Share Posted 51 minutes ago 12Z Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago EURO trying to reel us in… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago EURO NW trend over last 4 runs is pretty impressive. Definitely has me thinking this turns into the roxboro special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago I was joking around about it this morning but watching the trend on the Euro the past few runs this thing really might have some legs for a legit chance. I think short-range and hi res will get interesting tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago Euro AI was on this earlier than the physics based models. If it were to end up verifying to a light event from nothing that would be fascinating to me. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 38 minutes ago Share Posted 38 minutes ago 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Euro AI for the Potential It’s been pretty locked in. What does the new King say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago Euro AI lines up pretty well with 12z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 25 minutes ago Share Posted 25 minutes ago Nice jump on 12z EPS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 24 minutes ago Share Posted 24 minutes ago Just now, WXNewton said: Nice jump on 12z EPS! Yep! Hard to ignore the trends, going to come down to temps/rates at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago It will be a long time before this past snowstorm is beaten except for maybe the Raleigh folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 18 minutes ago Share Posted 18 minutes ago Good thing is it looks to come in at night! No sun angle issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Good thing is it looks to come in at night! No sun angle issues Was literally about to say this. Only way this one works given marginal BL temps is nighttime snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago Seriously better not postpone my surgery Wednesday lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 4 minutes ago Share Posted 4 minutes ago Latest SREF lit up fwiw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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