NCSU_Pi Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 39 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR precip showing a huge dry slot That thing is a "dry slot" in the same way that being cored by round shot while standing too tall on the weatherdeck is getting "grazed by the enemy." 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 WRAL said on Facebook they are seeing 2 sweet spots and they are working to update the map again. Well…that didn’t sound good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 NAM is saying step back from the cliff Raleigh peeps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Here we go peeps. Everyone over to the obs thread. I have steady flurries on the farm cams in Stuart VA! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Nam has shifted instability south. ILM south and west is full of lift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 These models are horrible lol... just absolutely atrocious and hardly any consistency especially the short range 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clt_25 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 17 minutes ago, Mesoscale Band said: Amazingly, CLT and its notorious weather dome, still held at bay. Still a great hit. Howdy neighbor! Yes hard to believe this storm is somehow disabling the CLT weather dome force field! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: NAM is saying step back from the cliff Raleigh peeps. Grab my hair. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 This is going to be a crusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 39 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Yikes. That’s not good for Raleigh. Or the Triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: These models are horrible lol... just absolutely atrocious and hardly any consistency especially the short range Seriously. Either Raleigh gets nothing or a foot. It’s crazy how far off these models are from each other this close to game time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 The HRRR is really only good for taking radar trends as the event unfolds (under 8 hours) and creating a kind of future radar projection. And for thermal profiles. I wish they had never made it run past 18 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 We're like 12 hours from the event and I've been following this from the beginning. 0 clue what's going to happen IMBY lol. Literally anything from 0" - 12" seems possible. Outrageous. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Anyone have the latest graf model to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADB83 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 NAM is literally just playing hopscotch skipping back-and-forth every run. It didn’t even screw the Triad that run. I have zero confidence in what’s going to happen to be honest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 32 minutes ago, Grayman said: I’m heading over to the sanitarium boys. Feel free to meet me over there. Can we get group rates??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, Ravens94 said: Slower on the NAM and being pulled back closer to OBX? This would certainly mean more QPF over eastern NC but also CNC as well correct? Looks much wetter than 12Z to my untrained eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PeeDeeWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 7 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Nam has shifted instability south. ILM south and west is full of lift What does this mean? You aren't talking dry when you say instability, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 HRRRR doing horrible job with precip. Never caught up with trends and obs. Checked webcams and it is snowing in NC mtns----NW. Hasn't done well at all most the day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishbfm Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Issued at 3:16pm... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Raleigh has 20 inches on the NAM and 0 on the HRRR. I don’t think I’ve ever seen anything like it.. 9 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Can you imagine all being in the same room? donuts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDUBrierCreek Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Need to start using the 3km NAM at this range instead of regular and 12km right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 NAM is back some Just now, StantonParkHoya said: Raleigh has 20 inches on the NAM and 0 on the HRRR. I don’t think I’ve ever seen anything like it. . I would not trust HRRR at moment, then again let's see with NAM. The 18z looks more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thekidcurtis Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Raleigh has 20 inches on the NAM and 0 on the HRRR. I don’t think I’ve ever seen anything like it. . We take the mean and ride. 10" FTW! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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