Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs

[calculus1]

16/15

Everything covered in snow/sleet mix. Mainly sleet, I believe, but it did slow at several points last night. The trees are not drooping at all. So, minimal glaze here, thankfully.

[airmarci]

textbook IP sounding at GSO this morning

 

[StantonParkHoya]

Still sleet in Raleigh


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[EarlGrey]

What’s going on here?

 

 

[PackGrad05]

16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Maybe 1/2” sleet. Very little ZR. Precip looks limited at best. RAH expects everyone to get above freezing in central NC and last batch and most remaining QPF to be all rain. Thinking ice storm cancel? NAM appears to have kicked butt. Roads are awful, sleet ice mix stuck to everything. It’s 21 so I’m not surprised 

They need to be careful with that messaging.  Even if temps get to 34 or so overnight, it won't magically make the roads fine in the morning.   

[Coach McGuirk]

30.8 and moderate freezing rain. 

[Orange county]

3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

They need to be careful with that messaging.  Even if temps get to 34 or so overnight, it won't magically make the roads fine in the morning.   

But hopefully the tree/power line iceorama will be avoided

[neverSnowsLCSC]

Very light glaze on cars, grills, fences, etc in my part of Summerville. Small icicles hanging off everything. Should all be gone in an hour or two.

[gman]

Heavy sleet and still 21 degrees. 

[David6310]

Basically the same in GSO.   We're between Friendly Shopping Center and PTI.  14f

[Coach McGuirk]

Well. I guess this is an ice storm. lol

[btownheel]

Concrete bomb. Not a drop of zr yet. 15 degrees. Seem to remember someone here telling y’all to trust the mega CAD .

What a fun storm!


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[StantonParkHoya]

What are chances east of GSO just goes Sleet to Dry Slot to final line


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[Coach McGuirk]

To be fair to mother nature, I heard a branch break when I went outside.

[PackGrad05]

HRRR still doesn't want to bring temps above freezing in Wake

[Orange county]

WRAL said the temp at 1800 feet is about 6 degrees warmer than 500 feet (sensors on the Tower)

[SUNYGRAD]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

At least some freezing drizzle, before frontal passage later today. The front will have precip, most likely freezing rain and some sleet possible. 


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[RTPGiants]

20 degrees and sleet in South Durham. About 1/4 inch on the ground

[Coach McGuirk]

31.0 and zr.  Probably no more than .10 inches. 

[btownheel]

I want to see thundersleet this afternoon.


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[DTP]

29 minutes ago, EarlGrey said:

What’s going on here?

 

 

Looks like a rain shadow- most locations in that area have east or NE winds currently, along with higher mountains to the east and NE- downslope cuts off precip, upslope enhances.

The above hole in the precip would be from downsloping; on the east side of the Apps/Escarpment you are getting the opposite- upslope (orographic lift) bc the mountains are located to the west and the wind is from the NE

So the same wind direction creates opposite effects depending on which side of the mountains you are located.

It will close when winds veer to the south and/or west this afternoon as forecast- the area around Chattanooga has S winds currently and is getting plastered with rain

[NorthHillsWx]

11 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

HRRR still doesn't want to bring temps above freezing in Wake

It’s been steadfast. It will be hard to unwedge from 21 degrees unless we get that heavy squall line, imo. Rare to start a wedge event at 19

[Fantom X]

15 degrees. About 1/2" of sleet and snow. Just a slight glaze- salisbury NC

[Upstate Turfie]

26 degrees. Very small coating of freezing rain. Predominately sleet. 
 

GSP 

[SUNYGRAD]

4 minutes ago, DTP said:

Looks like a rain shadow- most locations in that area have east or NE winds currently, along with higher mountains to the east and NE- downslope cuts off precip, upslope enhances.

The above hole in the precip would be from downsloping; on the east side of the Apps/Escarpment you are getting the opposite- upslope (orographic lift) bc the mountains are located to the west and the wind is from the NE

So the same wind direction creates opposite effects depending on which side of the mountains you are located.

It will close when winds veer to the south and/or west this afternoon as forecast- the area around Chattanooga has S winds currently and is getting plastered with rain

 

7 minutes ago, DTP said:

Looks like a rain shadow- most locations in that area have east or NE winds currently, along with higher mountains to the east and NE- downslope cuts off precip, upslope enhances.

The above hole in the precip would be from downsloping; on the east side of the Apps/Escarpment you are getting the opposite- upslope (orographic lift) bc the mountains are located to the west and the wind is from the NE

So the same wind direction creates opposite effects depending on which side of the mountains you are located.

It will close when winds veer to the south and/or west this afternoon as forecast- the area around Chattanooga has S winds currently and is getting plastered with rain

 

7 minutes ago, DTP said:

Looks like a rain shadow- most locations in that area have east or NE winds currently, along with higher mountains to the east and NE- downslope cuts off precip, upslope enhances.

The above hole in the precip would be from downsloping; on the east side of the Apps/Escarpment you are getting the opposite- upslope (orographic lift) bc the mountains are located to the west and the wind is from the NE

So the same wind direction creates opposite effects depending on which side of the mountains you are located.

It will close when winds veer to the south and/or west this afternoon as forecast- the area around Chattanooga has S winds currently and is getting plastered with rain

 

[Coach McGuirk]

Not sure why or how, but I went down to 30.8.  My plant is looking sadder and sadder. 

[StantonParkHoya]

Heavy sleet with snow mixed in. WHAT?!


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[Regan]

50 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

They need to be careful with that messaging.  Even if temps get to 34 or so overnight, it won't magically make the roads fine in the morning.   

Yes and at the same time I’m seeing a lot of mets saying that from the triangle n and w it could stay below freezing until after this is done. I keep saying… words matter. Plus, thy got the temps wrong last night. We weren’t supposed to get below 24 and it was 18 here in nw Raleigh. Thy need to say this is possible and this is possible and we honestly don’t know be prepared for anytime. They can think all they want, but maybe don’t say it all. Same for the mets on tv. 

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, Regan said:

Yes and at the same time I’m seeing a lot of mets saying that from the triangle n and w it could stay below freezing until after this is done. I keep saying… words matter. Plus, thy got the temps wrong last night. We weren’t supposed to get below 24 and it was 18 here in nw Raleigh. Thy need to say this is possible and this is possible and we honestly don’t know be prepared for anytime. They can think all they want, but maybe don’t say it all. Same for the mets on tv. 

It’s not getting above freezing unless we get a heavy squall that brings the warm nose down. With how weak QPF is I kinda doubt that line will be as modeled once it hits the wedge. I think ice storm averted 

[Coach McGuirk]

This storm is very curious, it's like there are two separate storms one after another.