Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 We like, smokin at 42 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looks like a hold to me..maybe an ass hair warmer up top 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, stormtracker said: Looks like a hold to me..maybe an ass hair warmer up top Was gonna say you could argue a sliiiightly faster flip. But all in all you have to call it a hold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looks like a hold to me..maybe an ass hair warmer up topI think we are good with holds for the fun model solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Still smokin at 45 lose thermal at 51 in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS = stubborn bastard 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looks like maybe some ass end snow, but not a lot. Check those soundings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looks like a hold to me..maybe an ass hair warmer up top Does the flip hold (in the DC area at least) until at least 18Z still? That's my goal, to at least hold all or mostly snow until then to maximize amounts in the overnight and Sunday morning period before the sleet bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Any backside love on the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS = stubborn bastardI don’t think it will change much because maybe it dosent have the computing abilities to see deeper than what it’s seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 When the GFS caves or it just verifies wrong, we're not gonna learn our lesson, our we? 7 3 1 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Can't recall the Gfs being this persistent for this long and being horribly wrong. It was equally persistent in 1/16 and did well. Let's hope. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Any backside love on the GFS?@ravensrule 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Looks like maybe some ass end snow, but not a lot. Check those soundings Maybe a flip back to snow, Lp off Delmarva 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The GFS is 14" of snow + sleet for DC. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 18Z GFS 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 HH GFS is the same outside of a bit of noise between runs. Actually slightly colder here as the coastal low makes its closest pass. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 So GFS has a foot and some change (including sleet) for DC. I'd take 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS That .02" worth of sleet over mby has been on the prior 2 runs, I believe, as well. Consistency is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, stormtracker said: So GFS has a foot and some change (including sleet) for DC. I'd take 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So GFS has a foot and some change (including sleet) for DC. I'd take A foot plus and very little or no ZR seems like the ceiling for us low landers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 HRRR likes the idea the possibility of some thundersnow (and then thundersleet) right before the changeover. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 11 minutes ago, bncho said: GFS = stubborn bastard I think that's now the 8th run in a row of the GFS showing 18"+ (Kuchera) for the eastern panhandle of WV 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 AI GFS shift south 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowciopathic Snow Bro Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: 2 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, bncho said: AI GFS shift south Let’s see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 18Z 12K NAM and GFS showing the synoptic differences. Hope GFS is correct. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Let’s see it Slight shift south and it's slightly juicier 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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