jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Seems like most seem to have this general idea.It’s the correct forecast at this juncture honestly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Okay… confluence holding up pretty well for us thru 39. Baja still cutoff at 561. But still looks like there’s plenty of room to phase. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 18 minutes ago, BigCountry said: Yep, that was it. Thank you. I was freaking out when I saw 2-3. Haha Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk Rescind your LOL imposed on those who actually knew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, baltosquid said: Okay… confluence holding up pretty well for us thru 39. Baja still cutoff at 561. But still looks like there’s plenty of room to phase. Out here doing a break down on every 3 hr panel of the Nam lol love it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Also, at the surface, the high in the Midwest has come south a bit this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 19 minutes ago, das said: It's like bb's falling from the sky. And walking/driving in it is more like walking in sand than anything else. It's pretty fascinating. Also, it is a lightening-fast sledding surface. Once it becomes glacified, try sledding it. In Jan or Feb 1994 I was still in Dale City. We got 3 inches of pure sleet. Once it became a glacier, sledding was pure genocide. I was foolish enough to try sledding down a pretty steep hill on one of those circular plastic sleds. Pure ice substrate. Well, it was fast as hell. I won't ever do that again. Banged up pretty good. Shot down the hill at breakneck velocity jumped a curb onto the ice packed street lucky no cars on it at the time, simply shot down that street. Lots of onlookers watched amazed I didnt kill myself. Glacierized sleetpack is extremely fast. Sled it with EXTREME caution. Don't get Jebbed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, TSSN+ said: Out here doing a break down on every 3 hr panel of the Nam lol love it I need this opening gig man, could launch my career 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Out here doing a break down on every 3 hr panel of the Nam lol love it Initial hunch is it’ll be a bit colder but drier. Let’s see 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, jayyy said: Initial hunch is it’ll be a bit colder but drier. Let’s see This is kinda what I think, phase is really taking its time and could affect the WAA. Also the NAM is taking its time… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The confluence over top of us is very important...in about 48 hours...not 12 or 24 hours...as whatever it is then will be gone by the time the storm is here...at those time ranges what is happening to our NW is more important actually than super tiny minor differences in the height fields over top of us way ahead of the storm. 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigCountry Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Rescind your LOL imposed on those who actually knew LOL rescinded. Thank you to the poster that actually assisted. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 11 minutes ago, das said: It's like bb's falling from the sky. And walking/driving in it is more like walking in sand than anything else. It's pretty fascinating. Also, it is a lightening-fast sledding surface. The way I remember the very few real cold sleeters is that at around 20F it’s so frozen that it kinda shatters on impact rather than being like a bb pellet like when it’s 30F. Anyone else can remember ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Closing in on us at 51...I dunno seems a lil wetter over a wider area out west vs 12z? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Hell at this rate the NAM will have the baja energy go south of Acapulco lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 on approach the high is a little south in the midwest, SLIGHTLY less confluence ahead but so minor I don't think that matters much, slightly flatter flow out west (good) but better organized system (also good IMO because we might get a thumpier thump before a flip). 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, stormtracker said: Closing in on us at 51...I dunno seems a lil wetter over a wider area out west vs 12z? Wetter is good as long as it's colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 This is kinda what I think, phase is really taking its time and could affect the WAA. Also the NAM is taking its time…Takes time to load a good NAMing 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Takes time to load a good NAMing Aren’t good NAMing’s done at game time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Snow around 7pm Saturday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Closing in on us at 51...I dunno seems a lil wetter over a wider area out west vs 12z? Need bnacho to chime in for wetter or drier. I just want colder vs warmer or souther vs norther 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Closing in on us at 51...I dunno seems a lil wetter over a wider area out west vs 12z? at 51 the whole flow is flatter out west also, this is less amped so far (NAM can go nuts in a hurry so not reading into what happens later yet), the initial WAA is directed in a better trajectory also. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, H2O said: Need bnacho to chime in for wetter or drier. I just want colder vs warmer or souther vs norther its snourther 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, psuhoffman said: at 51 the whole flow is flatter out west also, this is less amped so far (NAM can go nuts in a hurry so not reading into what happens later yet), the initial WAA is directed in a better trajectory also. It's definitely different on the sfc vs 12z so far...seems flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It's definitely different on the sfc vs 12z so far...seems flatterMay not be a bad thing. Let’s see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Incoming? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 better at 51 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's definitely different on the sfc vs 12z so far...seems flatter oh it is...you can really see it on the h5 trend gif I just posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Would be hilarious if the NAM went toward the GFS. If there ever was a time we wanted the GFS to be right... 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Liking this run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Getting it good at 9z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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