January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[21chuck]

6 minutes ago, bigtenfan said:

Does anyone know what source Apple Weather uses?

They have been adamant calling for 18- 22 inches of snow in the Paoli Malvern area almost all week. They have not backed down even with the Mesoscale computer runs.

I don't know but I hate how 80% of the population uses apple weather as their primary source for weather forecasting. 

[Kevin Reilly]

15 minutes ago, bigtenfan said:

Does anyone know what source Apple Weather uses?

They have been adamant calling for 18- 22 inches of snow in the Paoli Malvern area almost all week. They have not backed down even with the Mesoscale computer runs.

Their app algorithm must calculate 1-2” of sleet as 10” 

[Kevin Reilly]

37 minutes ago, RedSky said:

ECM is several hours later then NAM with the change to sleet which is significant

 

I can hear Elliott Abrams in my ears, “should the delay in the changeover occur we can easily pick up a foot of snow.” 

[Kevin Reilly]

20 minutes ago, BBasile said:

Forgot about that.  Profile says he hasn't visited since 2015, but could still lurk.  Maybe he forgot his password.

Yea totally remembered commenting with Glen think possibly during the 13” storm back in 2014. 

[The Iceman]

Am I foolish for not starting my generator today? I’m refusing to believe freezing rain is going to be that serious of an issue this far N… am I being obtuse? 

[Kevin Reilly]

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Am I foolish for not starting my generator today? I’m refusing to believe freezing rain is going to be that serious of an issue this far N… am I being obtuse? 

Funny you said that I’m about to go out now and give the generator a start and run for 10 minutes and check my gas supply. 

[BBasile]

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Am I foolish for not starting my generator today? I’m refusing to believe freezing rain is going to be that serious of an issue this far N… am I being obtuse? 

Well, who would know better than The Iceman?  

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, Prairie Dog said:

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8fV4KYq/.        Glenn.  Great met. Actually admitted on NBC10 he was wrong on several occasions when he was there

Glenn hugging the icon model. We'll that certainly is a plot twist

[Kevin Reilly]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Glenn hugging the icon model. We'll that certainly is a plot twist

You cannot discount anything at this point. 

[Duca892]

Mike Masco (from PIX11) is saying models have slowed the progression of mixing? Outside the NAM of course.

[jrodd321]

Looks like Holly is sticking with their last call as their final map the time stamp changed. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

1 minute ago, jrodd321 said:

Looks like Holly is sticking with their last call as their final map the time stamp changed. 

I don't think that is a "final map".  It would be their latest version based on the current guidance and input from the latest model runs that they use to do the snow forecasts.  They may revise later tonight and tomorrow depending on when any changeover happens.

[jrodd321]

Just now, Hurricane Agnes said:

I don't think that is a "final map".  It would be their latest version based on the current guidance and input from the latest model runs that they use to do the snow forecasts.  They may revise later tonight and tomorrow depending on when any changeover happens.

Well that’s what I meant meaning the storms starting tonight for most.

[Hurricane Agnes]

1 minute ago, jrodd321 said:

Well that’s what I meant meaning the storms starting tonight for most.

They may do an update later tonight at say 8 pm-ish.    Mike posted earlier in this thread about how much of a mess it was to try to communicate to the public about what may happen and I agree.  I posted earlier about anything "looking like" a "Miller B" is always a PITA to try to nail down.  And we all have experienced the "dry slots" that happen with that type of storm just before any coastal starts revving up.