January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[The Iceman]

Gfs isn’t alone, the NWS blend has also been showing big totals as well and pretty much all snow. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

18z Euros.  Still think tomorrow with the 0zs and 12zs will be "go time" (including the NAM) - 

[RedSky]

6 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

And so you proceeeded to send me down the rabbit hole to sub to that.  I remember when they first came out and were free (for some stuff).  But times change... 

Their 18z GFS 282 hr sleet map - still looks to be down just below Philly metro.

Lazy me goes back and finds it was quoted post from Jan 13 lmao 

Im done brain nap time

[LVblizzard]

Seems to me that the north trend stopped with 0z last night. Models have been pretty consistent today. Now we just need them to converge on a solution.

[ChescoWx]

2 hours ago, mattinpa said:

Maybe we do get a compromise, which would still be nice. The floor for this one looks to be 6 inches plus sleet which is a high floor.

Folks will need to measure and wipe their snowboards as the sleet begins (plus run out and shovel). Sleet counts as snow albeit at about 3:1 a bit slower accumulations!

[Duca892]

Sorry I thought EURO was swinging better. I’m doing copium trying to breath life into the GFS

[jrodd321]

Euro is beautiful. 

[ron1660]

I do not write much, but the Euro AIFS model forms the transferred low visibly east of the Euro operational model, and as a result, proposes a slightly, but critical colder solution. 850 mb temperatures are 1 degree C colder, and, though it matters less, surface temperatures right around the Philly area are a full 3-4 degrees F colder. The snow difference is significant. The 10:1 ratio snow difference is 4 inches. Though Weatherbell does not show Kuchera accumulations for the AIFS model, one would have to assume that the difference would be 6" of snow.

[tcutter]

36 minutes ago, Ellinwood said:

Initial snow+sleet forecast... main issue will obviously be the mixing that comes in on Sunday, mainly along and east of I-95. Very excited as my kid is 6 and has not seen a 6"+ snow event.

This would work for sure