NJwx85 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Much cleaner phase and better trough orientation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Mr. T. said: Northern interaction with better vorts = the outcome we want it almost looks like ukmet, euro and cmc so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Monster storm for these parts. Lets hope this holds - now its on the same plane as other guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. T. Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Much cleaner phase Probably best outcome as it's not going to dig deeper and phase much better than that atm. Time will tell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 What a band. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Best gfs run yet. 10-15” across the board with lollis to 18” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Snowlover11 said: Best gfs run yet. 10-15” across the board with lollis to 18” how about kuchera haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I’m honestly surprised we’re only seeing 12-15in numbers with that amount of moisture and duration. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those blues start showing up in NJ eventually Or is it aqua….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: how about kuchera haha That is kuchera. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS: Total QPF Storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Damn I really wish it was 48 hours from now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS AI AIFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, jdj5211 said: I’m honestly surprised we’re only seeing 12-15in numbers with that amount of moisture and duration. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those blues start showing up in NJ eventually . QPF isn't that high for most in this subforum, 0.7 qpf given the temps etc seems reasonable for around a foot. If it trends north then it would be higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 cmc huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, jdj5211 said: I’m honestly surprised we’re only seeing 12-15in numbers with that amount of moisture and duration. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those blues start showing up in NJ eventually Or is it aqua….. I always feel like the qpf goes up the closer we get to game time for the big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 QPF isn't that high for most in this subforum, 0.7 qpf given the temps etc seems reasonable for around a foot. If it trends north then it would be higher.GFS and GFS AI went from nothing this morning to basically .8 area wide in 3 model runs. It is trending pretty rapidly!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2003 was traumatic for me (in Boston). We planned a PD weekend getaway to Montreal area and I tracked the huge mid-atlantic storm for a week sad I was going to miss the 6-12" fringe targeting SNE. It was only Friday when it became apparent what was going to happen. You know the rest. We sat in Quebec under -20 temps while Boston broke the '78 snowfall record.I was in Denver for work and so upset I missed it. 70 degrees there while we got two feet at home. Wife was ready to strangle me. Still remember the huge cornices on our roof when I got back. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 CMC looks way north, sleet to Southern NJ and almost to LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Lol the Canadian snows to Canada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Let’s cool it on the kuchie maps for a couple more days. Probably one of the worst ways to evaluate things since precip is probably not correct to begin with - bets are off Thursday or so though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 43 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 1/21 00Z Total QPF ICON: 0.9 - 1.0 (12z hold) GGEM: GFS: 0.9 - 1.0 (12Z increase) GFS AIFS: 0.7 - 0.8 (12z increase) Updated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 wow man we need the north trend to stop 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Lol the Canadian snows to Canada Brings mixing all the way to south jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Honestly i'm surprised CMC is only showing 12-18 inches I would have thought if heavy precip got that far north there'd be 2 foot totals in some places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1/21 00Z GGEM B Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GGEM This is about 300 miles north of the other guidance, I wouldn't put too much stock in that run other than that things have trended north across the board . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 canadian shows snow from 7am sun to 7am monday no secondary low like last run great run but needs to stop the north jog here otherwise we'll smell sleet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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