January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[HKY_WX]

 

The beast has arrived. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G18&sector=wus&band=09&length=24

[suzook]

Stole this from FB, But very true at this point....

 

[NorthHillsWx]

2 minutes ago, suzook said:

Stole this from FB, But very true at this point....

 

That’s giving us too much credit. We’d fall below that range 

[BooneWX]

 
The beast has arrived. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G18&sector=wus&band=09&length=24

.

[Thrasher Fan]

Afternoon discussion from KFFC. Its long so I'll just post the link.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FFC&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

[ObiWanKarlNobi]

21 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

That’s giving us too much credit. We’d fall below that range 

[olafminesaw]

Through 39 hrs, noticeably south with the push of moisture on the GFS

[franklin NCwx]

18z gfs is a lot flatter 

[Buddy1987]

Surface verbatim starts as all snow NC/VA bordering counties north at 60.

[Thrasher Fan]

GFS 2m temps colder (CAD stronger) 69h

[franklin NCwx]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

GFS 2m temps colder (CAD stronger) 69h

Its just a weaker more strung out system.  Less WAA

[olafminesaw]

Sleet bomb is back on the menu boys and girls 

[HKY_WX]

GFS trend below. Main noticeable difference is the STJ cutoff trending south. This prevents such an early phase. It's apparent on the Water Vapor as well. 

[KChuck]

On 1/18/2026 at 7:24 PM, WinstonSalemArlington said:

What could fail??? 

[Thrasher Fan]

3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

Its just a weaker more strung out system.  Less WAA

Negative.

 

[Brick Tamland]

GFS has some snow in northern NC before turning to sleet.

[Brick Tamland]

Freezing rain on the GFS takes over around hour 72 to 87.

[lilj4425]

GFS drops the hammer over Upstate SC and NE Georgia. Yikes.

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

 

[HKY_WX]

3 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

Negative.

 

Pretty incredible that almost all of that precip in N SC is frozen/freezing. 

[franklin NCwx]

4 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

Negative.

 

Positive.  Its trending to a later and later phase. Heights are flatter out in front. You're looking only at the surface.  

[franklin NCwx]

3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

GFS drops the hammer over Upstate SC and NE Georgia. Yikes.

Got your generator?

[Buddy1987]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

Positive.  Its trending to a later and later phase. Heights are flatter out in front. You're looking only at the surface.  

This is accurate. Even the slowly decaying NAM ancient motherboard showed a super late phaser that isn’t necessarily wrong. It is plausible as to what it depicted. 

[lilj4425]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

Got your generator?

Yes. I bought one at Lowe’s during Helene. My power was out for almost a week during that. 

[PackGrad05]

The NWS graphic with ice total posted above is from their automated site. A similar one was posted last night. Be careful with that.


.

[Brick Tamland]

UK at 54.

[GaWx]

13 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

Negative.

 

 The last 1+” of that in ATL area on the 18Z GFS is plain cold rain. If that verifies, it would accelerate the melting after a very bad ZR hit.

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]