January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[LakeNormanStormin]

If I take her home on Saturday night, I need the Uber to get her home on Sunday

[LakeNormanStormin]

1 minute ago, Coach McGuirk said:

Yorktown, VA. 

Rock n roll!

Rooting for cold rain down here

[USCG RS]

Just now, Coach McGuirk said:

Make the best out of a bad situation. 

I am not set on a huge ZR for this area yet... but I am losing the battle against hope. That withstanding, if the CAD is going to hold on so strongly, perhaps the Mid Levels stay just cold enough to keep us as sleet over ZR. That or perhaps the CAD is enough to shunt the storm a bit futher South. 

[WiseWeather]

Euro is beginning to give me “what storm” vibes.


.

[LakeNormanStormin]

5 minutes ago, WiseWeather said:

Euro is beginning to give me “what storm” vibes.


.

Okay with that at this point.

Cold rain is good.

[chris624wx]

Mixing ZR as far north as DC and S. NJ is crazy!

[lilj4425]

7 minutes ago, WiseWeather said:

Euro is beginning to give me “what storm” vibes.


.

Oh good. I can go golfing now.

[USCG RS]

Euro looks like it wants to finally override that CAD. Looks like SN/Slop to Slop to Rn. 

[WXNewton]

Euro was almost identical to 18z, the heart of the CAD actually was a touch stronger and several locations ran about 1 degree colder through most of the precip. In MBY (Hickory) we stayed below freezing for 99% of the storm and zr totals were 1.71" and the FRAM est was 1.10".

 

[WXNewton]

2 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

Euro looks like it wants to finally override that CAD. Looks like SN/Slop to Slop to Rn. 

I looked very closely at this and at the very end it actually has the freezing rain ever so slightly further south than 18z and temps a touch colder.

[Coach McGuirk]

I think I just got epilepsy. lol

[USCG RS]

10 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

I looked very closely at this and at the very end it actually has the freezing rain ever so slightly further south than 18z and temps a touch colder.

Yeah, I glanced at it too quckly. Sometimes foot in mouth disease is a thing...

[Berlin1926]

Latest ensembles.  Certainly still showing impressive qpf. Not sure what's keeping Wakefield from housting WSW.

[Berlin1926]

Finally....Wakefield adds central VA to WSW.  This map is imoressive.

[Coach McGuirk]

Like me, Wakefield has zero idea what is going to happen.

 

Friday

A slight chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. North wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

Saturday

A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night

Snow before 1am, then snow and sleet. The snow and sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Sunday

Rain, snow, and sleet, becoming all rain after 7am. The sleet could be heavy at times. High near 38. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Sunday Night

Rain, snow, and freezing rain, mainly before 1am. Low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Monday

A chance of snow before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

[Coach McGuirk]

A Winter Storm Watch for: "rain, snow, sleet, freezing rain, who the fuck knows."

[JoshM]

6z GFS coming in colder a little further south. 

[JoshM]

Crippling Ice storm still for a lot of the area

[redteamllc]

A Winter Storm Watch for: "rain, snow, sleet, freezing rain, who the fuck knows."

You can say that again. I believe I actually saw a watch/warning for exploding trees to to extreme cold temps further northwest. At this point who knows what we might see. It's why we all love weather!

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

[suzook]

06z Nam looking euroish.

[HWY316wx]

41 minutes ago, suzook said:

06z Nam looking euroish.

Good Lord, the NAM cut and brought severe wx to the SE States.

[lilj4425]

2 minutes ago, HWY316wx said:

Good Lord, the NAM cut and brought severe wx to the SE States.

I was just joking about the tornado watches yesterday.   

[NorthHillsWx]

If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us 

[olafminesaw]

The 6z Euro coming in a bit South, no major changes

[gman]

3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us 

Let’s pray the NAM is correct. The last thing NC and SC needs is a crippling ice storm. We still have scars from Helene. 

[HWY316wx]

Being honest, without any caffeine in me, to me the 6Z GFS looks very, very similar to the EURO solution.  The only difference is the GFS holds the HP in place stronger and longer than the EURO does keeping the CAD in place.  

We don't want that mess the GFS is offering.  Since most are out of the snow game at this point, I'd just soon have T-storm warnings.

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s crazy, yea it played in La La land too in the 5-7 day range but euro sniffed something out 4 days out, made that dramatic jump and here we are, everything has slowly worked into the euro camp. Once again, the GFS is just a terrible model. The Euro under 5 days is just a beacon of despair around here. If it’s bad, it ain’t going back the other way 

[suzook]

11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us 

Typical the last 8 months for my area. Not surprised.

[NorthHillsWx]

2 minutes ago, suzook said:

Typical the last 8 months for my area. Not surprised.

It goes back to the notion, if it can’t rain why in the world did we think it can snow lol. NAM at range is typically useless besides maybe looking at thermals but another thing with this storm- we’re still more than 48 hours out here. Nothing brings precip in till after sunset Saturday now. At the rate it’s going it may be further delayed if these north trends keep happening and the WAA push goes to DC

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s crazy, yea it played in La La land too in the 5-7 day range but euro sniffed something out 4 days out, made that dramatic jump and here we are, everything has slowly worked into the euro camp. Once again, the GFS is just a terrible model. The Euro under 5 days is just a beacon of despair around here. If it’s bad, it ain’t going back the other way 

Don't be so sure. The latest GFS and EURO both came south and colder than the previous run.