January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said:

Yeah...I bet wildre was right nearly 200% of the time

If so that means he could see into the future.

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

Hugging a single model with known CAD identifying issues is certainly a choice.

WrAL always uses the Euro.

[SEwakenosnowforu]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Might be worse.

So now you are going against WRAL...rotfl

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said:

So now you are going against WRAL...rotfl

If we just go with what the local TV mets say then there really is no use in being on here.

[wake4est]

Full context:

 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

If we just go with what the local TV mets say then there really is no use in being on here.

Very true...but the past 8 years say we should!

[Snowncanes]

If the NAM and ICON both got the HH data, the Baja low looks to be a decent bit stronger. Closed isobars much longer and a little more south on both. Not sure how this will look downstream though

[WiseWeather]

If the NAM and ICON both got the HH data, the Baja low looks to be a decent bit stronger. Closed isobars much longer and a little more south on both. Not sure how this will look downstream though

Only gfs and euro have the new data at 0z to my knowledge


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[Brick Tamland]

Just now, SEwakenosnowforu said:

Very true...but the past 8 years say we should!

So why are you here?

[WXNewton]

1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

February 94 as well.

I was just thinking about both of these storms as possible analogs. 94 had a huge temp drop the day of the storm. The high seem to be strengthening as it moved into the VT/NH area and it anchored in place. 96 brings back some scary memories for me, listening to the pines pop around the house for days and near zero after was no fun. We lost power for 8 days and the mattresses were frozen stiff by the time power was restored. During the 94 storm Neil Bonnet died at Daytona. 

[Snowncanes]

1 minute ago, WiseWeather said:

Only gfs and euro have the new data at 0z to my knowledge


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Yeah that’s what I read too… but interesting they both jumped stronger and south this run. 

[Coach McGuirk]

4 minutes ago, wake4est said:

Full context:

 

How is this new Euro data, it is not released for another few hours.

[wake4est]

18z run

[BornAgain13]

Just looked at a sounding on the icon. 19 degrees with Freezing Rain. Thats unreal. 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

So why are you here?

I am here because I love winter weather. However....this might (and I hope I am wrong) could be the biggest bust of all time. We live in Wake Co....it amazes me how nobody talks about Fayetteville south into the Pee Dee region. Look at what the models showed just yesterday. I believe this event is crucial for the reputation of meteorologist. You know just by reading social media the reputation is already bad. 

[AGardiner87]

Yeah Icon would be a devastating ice storm for much of NC/SC!  

[KChuck]

14 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said:

So now you are going against WRAL...rotfl

Brick is going to Brick! 

[GunBlade]

0Z GFS will be telling

[AGardiner87]

Anyone have freezing rain amounts from the Icon? 

[Buddy1987]

0z RGEM is downright impressive with HP. Basically barely moves from Buffalo to Plattsburgh NY in a 12 hour period. Just anchored. 

[phishbfm]

https://www.weather.gov/rah/winter

Weird behavior to put forecast maps here that go just through Sat at 7pm...

 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

26 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

So why are you here?

I hope you are right and I eat crow! I know the strength of the wedge could be under modeled...but again...there are a lot of people on this board that live further south

[AGardiner87]

GFS rolling, LFG!!

[Buddy1987]

14 minutes ago, AGardiner87 said:

Anyone have freezing rain amounts from the Icon? 

I’m on pivotal and ICON doesn’t even have an option for ice accretion qpf like gfs and GGEM do. 

[Thrasher Fan]

On 1/20/2026 at 10:37 PM, Thrasher Fan said:

0z GFS running.

Hold_on_to_your_butts.jpeg

Bump

[SnowGoose69]

15 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

0z RGEM is downright impressive with HP. Basically barely moves from Buffalo to Plattsburgh NY in a 12 hour period. Just anchored. 

Yeah the wedge is insane on the RGEM. 

[CaryWx]

We're down to dropsondes.  Geez this is sad

[lilj4425]

1 minute ago, CaryWx said:

We're down to dropsondes.  Geez this is sad

People really grasping at straws aren’t they? lol.

[Thrasher Fan]

1 minute ago, CaryWx said:

We're down to dropsondes.  Geez this is sad

Hurricane season right around the corner!

[StantonParkHoya]

We're down to dropsondes.  Geez this is sad

Be interesting to see what the HWRF shows


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