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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm

Jimbo!

By Jimbo!,
in Southeastern States

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wncsnow
wncsnow

No matter what happens, it's good to see the forums back alive again. This place means a lot to me and even though I disagree with folks from time to time, I enjoy riding this Rollercoaster with you a

eyewall
eyewall

My initial thoughts

Thrasher Fan
Thrasher Fan

Been thinking about jburns today. He would be loving this week so much. RIP

Posted Images

HKY_WX

HKY_WX

Posted
Posted

NC IMBY - You will likely see the models lock in on the CAD more over the coming days. If surface temps are indeed in the teens, that will likely extend up quite a way. At least enough to produce sleet. Maybe even snow for longer than anticipated at the beginning.

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Buddy1987

Buddy1987

Posted
Posted

I will stand on my mole hill here and say the Canadian is full of sh*t.. you guys can pelt me later but i've seen this play out enough to say a 1005 mb low isn't going to just move a massive 1046ish MB HP out of the way. Be the first to go on record and give relative confidence in that. Unless the GFS has had an update or something, it used to LOVE doing that and then recorrect back to reality. 

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SECane

SECane

Posted
Posted

Back in the 2010s when I lived in the Midlands of SC I was stuck on the mix line between freezing rain and snow and got nothing, but sleet a solid 1 or 2 inches worth of it.

It really sucked, but I’d rather have that again than have to deal with freezing rain or ice. I’ve moved further north since, but it seems I can’t ever avoid being stuck on that line between snow and freezing rain lol.

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RaleighNC

RaleighNC

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, SECane said:

Back in the 2010s when I lived in the Midlands of SC I was stuck on the mix line between freezing rain and snow and got nothing, but sleet a solid 1 or 2 inches worth of it.

It really sucked, but I’d rather have that again than have to deal with freezing rain or ice. I’ve moved further north since, but it seems I can’t ever avoid being stuck on the line between snow and freezing rain lol.

that line is gonna be in New Hampshire before too long.

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kvegas-wx

kvegas-wx

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

I will stand on my mole hill here and say the Canadian is full of sh*t.. you guys can pelt me later but i've seen this play out enough to say a 1005 mb low isn't going to just move a massive 1046ish MB HP out of the way. Be the first to go on record and give relative confidence in that. Unless the GFS has had an update or something, it used to LOVE doing that and then recorrect back to reality. 

Mole hills are generally small and unimpressive.  But if you want to make a mountain out of said mole hill, then by all means stand on it and preach brother Buddy!  I don't think you will find much disagreement.

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SECane

SECane

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, RaleighNC said:

that line is gonna be in New Hampshire before too long.

That’s fine with me I do not enjoy Ice at all. It either needs to be all Snow or cold rain if it’s down to preference. Having a big ice storm just means you’re gonna be stuck at home with no power, and nothing to do for several hours if not longer like I was during the 2003 ICE storm for the SC Midlands.

Last Sunday was a disappointment, but it caused me no issues.

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Thrasher Fan

Thrasher Fan

Posted
Posted

KFFC has played some cards...  

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1217 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>024-220800-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0001.260124T0600Z-260126T1500Z/
Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Murray-Fannin-Gilmer-Union-Towns-
Chattooga-Gordon-Pickens-Dawson-Lumpkin-White-Floyd-Bartow-Cherokee-
Forsyth-Hall-Banks-
Including the cities of Dawsonville, Chatsworth, Blairsville,
Gainesville, Calhoun, Dahlonega, Hiawassee, Dalton, Woodstock,
Ellijay, Rome, Cleveland, Blue Ridge, LaFayette, Trenton, Jasper,
Homer, Summerville, Fort Oglethorpe, Cumming, and Cartersville
1217 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations up to 4 inches and ice accumulations greater than one
  quarter inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest
  Georgia.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.
  Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact
  the Monday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travelSaturday and Sunday. If
travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider
taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also
take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you
survive in case you become stranded.
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KChuck

KChuck

Posted
Posted
31 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

GEFS precip has really remained pretty solid and consistent in the same location over the past two days. It's either going to be consistently wrong or right lol.

pivotal-weather-gefsens-qpf_acc-mean-imp-conus (1).gif

How many times I remember it holding on for dear life then caving the last day. 

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Snowncanes

Snowncanes

Posted
Posted

GEFS vs EPS low locations. Obviously the amped/miller b solution is not good for us but synoptically they’re pretty similar wrt SLP locations for the high pressure. Looks like the high over the dakotas is a bit stronger on the GEFS which allows less room for the LP to ride up the apps. Im no pro but will be really interesting to see how this all plays out. I don’t think it takes much to change outcomes (either way) with this setup. I think we will get a much better handle when all the players are sampled (northern stream vort, high strength, Baja low) so looking forward to this evenings runs.

IMG_0614.jpeg

IMG_0615.jpeg

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Tony Sisk

Tony Sisk

Posted
Posted

GSP just issued a Winter Storm Watch

Winter Storm Watch 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1237 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ008>014-019-101>109-220800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0001.260124T1200Z-260126T1800Z/
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-
Catawba-Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-
Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-
Cabarrus-Union-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke
Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern
Polk-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union-Chester-
Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-Southern
Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg-
Including the cities of Salisbury, Saluda, Abbeville, Easley,
Tuckasegee, Inman, Ashford, Glenwood, Gastonia, Kings Mountain,
Bethlehem, Hartwell, Cruso, Sugar Hill, Celo, Baldwin,
Ramseytown, Fero, Union, Walnut, Mill Spring, Spartanburg,
Waterville, Cornelia, Canton, Charlotte, Landrum, Brevard,
Boiling Springs Sc, Ellendale, Taylorsville, Kyle, Swiss,
Cullowhee, Bryson City, Waynesville, Catawba, Kannapolis, Indian
Trail, Rock Hill, Ninety Six, Pine Mountain, Valdese, Marshall,
Demorest, Nebo, Fork Church, Reed Creek, Wesser, Mocksville,
Morganton, Canon, Busick, Franklin, Matthews, Mauldin, Concord,
Chester, Huntersville, Little River, Spruce Pine, Shelby,
Candler, Sawmills, Hollywood, Robbinsville, Fletcher,
Hendersonville, East Flat Rock, Toccoa, Mountain Rest, Glassy
Mountain, Oakway, Highlands, Rutherfordton, Stony Point, Cove
Creek, Nuberg, Westminster, Gumlog, Chimney Rock State Park,
Dana, Asheville, Mars Hill, Tuxedo, Tryon, Rocky Bottom, Hickory,
Great Falls, Ruckersville, Hot Springs, Newton, Wolf Mountain,
Monarch Mills, Greer, Millersville, Farmington, Poplar, Forest
City, Simpsonville, Anderson, Boydville, Crouse, Fingerville,
Lavonia, Stecoah, Jonas Ridge, Royston, Blackstock, Clinton,
Advance, Cedar Mountain, Trinity, Statesville, Almond, Old Fort,
Ingalls, St. Stephens, Luck, Granite Falls, Walhalla, Calhoun
Falls, Newland, Cashiers, Lenoir, Mooresville, Clarkesville,
Banner Elk, Cornwell, Berea, Marion, Micaville, Monroe, Fork
Shoals, Clemson, Wellford, Fountain Inn, Faust, Gaffney,
Patterson, Fortsonia, Sylva, Columbus, Kings Creek, Clayton,
Mountain City, Rainbow Springs, Franklin Springs, Spindale,
Hiddenite, Luada, Lincolnton, Pleasant Grove, Seneca, Ware
Shoals, Dysartsville, Taylors, Elberton, Lyman, Black Mountain,
Duncan, Alarka, Woodlawn, Burnsville, Etowah, Allenstand,
Weddington, Dacusville, Greenville, Middleton, and Laurens
1237 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations between 1 and 6 inches and ice accumulations between
  four tenths and one inch possible.

* WHERE...Northeast Georgia, Western North Carolina, and the South
  Carolina Upstate.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree
  limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Ice and
  snow covered roadways will become treacherous and impassable.
  Widespread power outages are likely due to the weight of the ice
  and snow on tree limbs and power lines. The outages could last for
  days in some areas. The hazardous conditions could impact the
  Monday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest snow and sleet accumulations are
  possible north of I-40. Highest ice accumulations are possible
  across the southern mountains of North Carolina, the mountains of
  northeast Georgia, and the mountains of South Carolina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains,
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing.
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help
you survive in case you become stranded.
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