Avdave Posted Tuesday at 01:14 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:14 AM Since we cant do cold and winter storms down here for the most part, I'd say lets got for the bit torch and set records. We know the piedmont can do heat no problem at all. We got that down toa science here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted Tuesday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:10 AM Man, that Raleigh forecast reminds of Phoenix. That’s just unreal for these parts. (Unlike Phoenix, it will not be a “dry heat”.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted Tuesday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:20 PM 8 hours ago, calculus1 said: Man, that Raleigh forecast reminds of Phoenix. That’s just unreal for these parts. (Unlike Phoenix, it will not be a “dry heat”.) IYKYK... Even for someone like me who loves heat and humidity, that's just not fun for anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM NWS has ticked the point click down from max temps 105-106 to 101-102 depending on where you are in wake county. Still extreme but not record shattering as originally forecast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 02:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:22 PM 19 hours ago, GaWx said: Thanks. But otoh, doesn’t the hot RDU sensor, itself, often end up verifying warmer unlike everywhere else? Yes, definitely accurate for that particular strip of concrete 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Tuesday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:57 PM 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: NWS has ticked the point click down from max temps 105-106 to 101-102 depending on where you are in wake county. Still extreme but not record shattering as originally forecast This is likely at least partially tied to the hot biased GFS not being as hot as it was (never was believable in the first place due to bias). But still the Carolinas and Virginia are facing a dangerous heatwave and potential records. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 07:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:05 PM 3 hours ago, GaWx said: This is likely at least partially tied to the hot biased GFS not being as hot as it was (never was believable in the first place due to bias). But still the Carolinas and Virginia are facing a dangerous heatwave and potential records. 100%. They also mention the orientation of the high is such that the worst heat favors the mid Atlantic in today’s AFD whereas some previous runs had it centered further SW. Multiple days of 100+ degree heat seem inevitable tho and it will certainly be a dangerous heat wave, but explicitly putting all time record highs in the forecast over the weekend definitely led to more scrutiny over the forecast. I had never seen 106 forecast for my area or 3 days straight of at least 105 as it had until yesterday 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:12 PM 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: 100%. They also mention the orientation of the high is such that the worst heat favors the mid Atlantic in today’s AFD whereas some previous runs had it centered further SW. Multiple days of 100+ degree heat seem inevitable tho and it will certainly be a dangerous heat wave, but explicitly putting all time record highs in the forecast over the weekend definitely led to more scrutiny over the forecast. I had never seen 106 forecast for my area or 3 days straight of at least 105 as it had until yesterday In some ways the NE does heat better than us. Greensboro has reached 100 only in 5 of the last 50 summers (12 days total). Boston has hit 100 in 9 of those years (9 days total) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted Wednesday at 01:22 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:22 AM 11 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: NWS has ticked the point click down from max temps 105-106 to 101-102 depending on where you are in wake county. Still extreme but not record shattering as originally forecast They dropped ours from 98-100, to 94-96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted Wednesday at 02:08 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:08 AM I dont have numbers as ive been at a pinball tournament. But you could literally feel the change in the air over the past few hours in Charlotte. Went from being "reaonable" to just absolutely soupy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 12:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:43 PM One saving grace during this heat wave will be somewhat lower humidity will lend to heat index’s staying in advisory territory. Will be damn hot but at least we won’t have the normal humidity to deal with too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Wednesday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:12 PM As bad as it will be in much of the SE, consider that the NYC forecasted low for July 4th is a very oppressive 81 F! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Wednesday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:52 PM 36 minutes ago, GaWx said: As bad as it will be in much of the SE, consider that the NYC forecasted low for July 4th is a very oppressive 81 F! Philly seems to be ground zero. Tommorow 104 with Dewpoints in the high 60s/low 70s, heat index near 115 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Wednesday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:24 PM 29 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Philly seems to be ground zero. Tommorow 104 with Dewpoints in the high 60s/low 70s, heat index near 115 A far cry from July 4, 1776. Weather report from the pen of Thomas Jefferson. Guess he would have been in the NE Forum... 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:45 PM 18 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: A far cry from July 4, 1776. Weather report from the pen of Thomas Jefferson. Guess he would have been in the NE Forum... 8 degree diurnal max from the morning low under sunny skies in July is wild! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Wednesday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:02 PM 17 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: 8 degree diurnal max from the morning low under sunny skies in July is wild! The notes say it was an unusually mild day for July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Wednesday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:17 PM One record to watch for RDU (and likely other sites) is the record for longest consecutive streak of 100+ degree highs. Current record from 2012 is 6 days. NWS is forecasting 5 straight 100+ days at the moment (100, 102, 102, 103, 100) but Tuesdays high will be dang close at 98 (and we know 2 degrees above forecast is just a casual Tuesday for the RDU sensor). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted yesterday at 12:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:05 PM The latest drought update does not look much different: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM 2 hours ago, eyewall said: The latest drought update does not look much different: Pretty significant improvement in the east, D2 Dropped from 90 to 80% mostly because of coastal improvements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:52 PM This may well be the hottest day of the heat wave by heat index, Dewpoints holding in the low 70s and heat index climbing into the mid 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM 4 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: This may well be the hottest day of the heat wave by heat index, Dewpoints holding in the low 70s and heat index climbing into the mid 90s Y’all have it worse than we do I guess, our DP is 65 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM 18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Y’all have it worse than we do I guess, our DP is 65 right now Yeah, it's really strange, because you would expect downsloping to produce lower DPs in the western Piedmont not higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 30 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Y’all have it worse than we do I guess, our DP is 65 right now Yeah really the worst of this will be up in the DC region. Not that it won't suck here as well but the dp's up there are horrendous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 21 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Yeah, it's really strange, because you would expect downsloping to produce lower DPs in the western Piedmont not higher The one time the Raleigh dry slot works out in our favor. It’s hot but it’s not steamy at least 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 24 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: The one time the Raleigh dry slot works out in our favor. It’s hot but it’s not steamy at least The DC swamp ends it's influence at the Triangle I guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Round 2 in 10 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago My point click is now showing a high of 106 tomorrow. I’m. Little skeptical of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: My point click is now showing a high of 106 tomorrow. I’m. Little skeptical of that I noticed the bump up as well this morning. I am a bit surprised by that. Also Falls Lake as expected is in free fall again. It has about 3 feet to drop before reaching the all time record low level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 28 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Round 2 in 10 days? Once again the GFS (6Z) is way too hot in the extended. Even if H5 reaches the near record high upper 590s as it has, highs on July 14-15th will not reach anywhere near as hot as this shows even with the drought:6Z GFS July 14th highs: for example 112 at SAV is loltastic as that’s compared to the 105 all-time hottest on record there back 155 years! 6Z GFS July 15th highs: also not going to happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, GaWx said: Once again the GFS (6Z) is way too hot in the extended. Even if H5 reaches the near record high upper 590s as it has, highs on July 14-15th will not reach anywhere near as hot as this shows even with the drought:6Z GFS July 14th highs: for example 112 at SAV is loltastic as that’s compared to the 105 all-time hottest on record there back 155 years! 6Z GFS July 15th highs: also not going to happen Either way this is horrible that the heat will continue to plague us for this long. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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