olafminesaw Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 It has been a good spring for backdoor cold front enthusiasts 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 2 hours ago, olafminesaw said: It has been a good spring for backdoor cold front enthusiasts Came through with a bite in Raleigh. Immediate wind change to north and gusts that definitely topped 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Looks like the wonderful dry weather is back. No rain in sight for the next couple of weeks, add some 90's to that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Rain chances Wednesday (90% NWS yesterday) have completely evaporated. Yet another system drying up east of mountains. I said 1” for the month was a lock but have definitely jinxed it in Raleigh area, it looks dry as a bone going forward! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Rain chances Wednesday (90% NWS yesterday) have completely evaporated. Yet another system drying up east of mountains. I said 1” for the month was a lock but have definitely jinxed it in Raleigh area, it looks dry as a bone going forward! Yeah, not good the next week or so. May be entering a wetter period after that as the ridge breaks down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 I don’t see another chance for widespread rain until the 8-9 day timeframe which would ensure another 2+ week stretch here without measurable rain. After finishing April with well under 1” of rain (our 4th time in last 8 months) we will be sitting under 1” going into the last week of May! While I have certainly enjoyed the cooler weather, that pattern change in central NC did absolutely nothing to alleviate drought conditions here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 I take everything with a grain of salt, but I think I heard someone mention it in here in the past as well....im gonna miss being NAM'd.... in both good ways and bad lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted May 13 Author Share Posted May 13 I’m going to miss having a model that could reliably sniff out thermals and CAD. I’ll never forget the coup it scored during the Jan 2025 storm when every model said I’d get several inches and the NAM said enjoy your sleet fest. About 2 hrs in, it went to pingers and never looked back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 I think we still need the NAM. Time to start a petition 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 13 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: I don’t see another chance for widespread rain until the 8-9 day timeframe which would ensure another 2+ week stretch here without measurable rain. After finishing April with well under 1” of rain (our 4th time in last 8 months) we will be sitting under 1” going into the last week of May! While I have certainly enjoyed the cooler weather, that pattern change in central NC did absolutely nothing to alleviate drought conditions here. Yup, southeast is horribly dry with no end in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 21 minutes ago, suzook said: Yup, southeast is horribly dry with no end in sight. Didn’t you just get like a foot of rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 20 hours ago, wncsnow said: I think we still need the NAM. Time to start a petition I echo that- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Latest drought monitor shows some improvement around the Charlotte area, SC and Georgia. Not much movement but probably the first time it’s trended positively in 6 months. This was expected as those are the areas that capitalized on the rainfall earlier this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 41 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Latest drought monitor shows some improvement around the Charlotte area, SC and Georgia. Not much movement but probably the first time it’s trended positively in 6 months. This was expected as those are the areas that capitalized on the rainfall earlier this month. Continues to worsen across the northern Piedmont/ mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 49 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Continues to worsen across the northern Piedmont/ mountains Before the next rain some areas in northern piedmont will likely move into exceptional category 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Late next week is trending drier again east of the Apps. Less than an inch of rain for many through 15 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 This is a good page WRAL put together to track rainfall at RDU: https://www.wral.com/weather/page/1934052/ Going back 6 months you can see all the months under 1” total for the month. Insane deficits and we’re going the wrong direction still 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 23 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Didn’t you just get like a foot of rain Lol. 4 inches in 2 hours. That was a week ago, and everything is dry as a bone again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted May 17 Author Share Posted May 17 On 4/13/2026 at 3:17 PM, BooneWX said: It’ll break down Memorial Day weekend. Like clockwork, always does!! Boy, I should get into day trading 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 A sight for sore eyes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 16 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: A sight for sore eyes With the way things have gone the last 4 months in this area, when you wake up Tues morning it will all change to sun and dry conditions 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Tropical moisture coming. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 16 hours ago, Met1985 said: Tropical moisture coming. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Let's hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 41 minutes ago, yotaman said: Let's hope. Should be. We won't stay in a drought forever. El Nino is getting setup currently and we should see a lot more moisture not only for us but for a large part of the southern USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 12z EPS looking great. If you've not been paying attention this upcoming pattern change has been advertised for since this week.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Best look the EPS has had in ages. Hope its locked in and doesnt waffle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 EPS and GEFS both look very wet. And it’s not dependent on just one storm system, but a summer pattern with storms most afternoons and possibly a stalled frontal boundary. This is the best look for rainfall since August 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 32 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: EPS and GEFS both look very wet. And it’s not dependent on just one storm system, but a summer pattern with storms most afternoons and possibly a stalled frontal boundary. This is the best look for rainfall since August Yes sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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