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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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3 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Hmmm. What gives them confidence in high winds that far out? Seems odd. Doesn't seem to be a particularly strong storm signal or anything. 

Pretty good gradient for early May and storm over NE (that does wrap up good) but agree it seems maybe a little strange this far out.  Just used this GFS as an example form 06Z----I think they are looking at this system and the general pattern.  I believe the criteria is 40 mph or higher for 1 hrgfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.thumb.png.ce38961b71bb629d5391f7324ba98e1e.pngr. or more.  

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15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

While it certainly won’t be the rain we were hoping for the cool steady rain is making for quite a pleasant morning here. It pushed just far enough west for Raleigh and the farm in Louisburg to get into the rain shield 

and it has actually pushed a little more west to keep us in it.

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Not super confident on CFS this far out, but this winter, if depicted right or similar, could be interesting in SE.  January below of course, but December-February is an interesting period on CFS but probably changing some.  Do not recall seeing this much below heights in SE in sometime.  Still fun to watch.Screenshot_5-5-2026_74236_www.tropicaltidbits_com.thumb.jpeg.5b0e810f8a0d9a508e2315b5afc7151b.jpeg

 

 

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