Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BooneWX]

10 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Dec 2017 ish

[WXNewton]

12z GFS Ens. definitely upticked on both Thursday's storm and Sunday's. 

[BooneWX]

Plz King Euro. I don’t ask for much!

[Met1985]

10 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Plz King Euro. I don’t ask for much!

Eh I've got to give a huge amount of credit to the gfs in the short range at least.  Euro wasn't even showing today until it's last run yesterday. 

[Met1985]

Heavy snow and blowing currently.  We've been waiting for this fellas. 

[wncsnow]

Just now, Met1985 said:

Eh I've got to give a huge amount of credit to the gfs in the short range at least.  Euro wasn't even showing today until it's last run yesterday. 

I give yoy credit you called that one out. It's snowing here again now (at 40°)

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

I give yoy credit you called that one out. It's snowing here again now (at 40°)

Nice! I've noticed these broke containment across the mountains.  I mean that may happen Thursday depending on things. Hopefully we get blasted. 

[wncsnow]

I don't think this Euro run is gonna cut it. energy is too far east 

[wncsnow]

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I don't think this Euro run is gonna cut it. energy is too far east 

Yep not even close to the GFS. Still some upslope snow in mtns

[WiseWeather]

I know this is off topic but… nuking snow in Lenoir right now.


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[wncsnow]

Dr. NO living up to its name today 

[BooneWX]

We’re on life support for system 1 imo, east of the mountains. Gotta hope for some better trends for late week the next few days. 

[wncsnow]

18 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

We’re on life support for system 1 imo, east of the mountains. Gotta hope for some better trends for late week the next few days. 

Probably on life support for both

[BooneWX]

Just now, wncsnow said:

Probably on life support for both

Correct but at least my sleep schedule returns to normal shortly 

[WNC_Fort]

No one can say that @wncsnowwasnt optimistic this time. We both tried to will it to reality. Alas, wasn’t meant to be… again

[BooneWX]

Flurries here this afternoon, so chalk that down as another trace on an Eric Webb map. With enough trace’s I should make it to .1 on the season. 

[WXNewton]

12z EPS is actually a slight increase from 6z on Thursday's potential.

[stormwatcherJ]

Cold and dry for the next 10 days. Awesome. 

[calculus1]

Flurries here this afternoon, so chalk that down as another trace on an Eric Webb map. With enough trace’s I should make it to .1 on the season. 

No, your conversion rate is way off. It’s an infinite number of traces required to make 0.1 inch of accumulated snowfall.

Yeah, I suppose I get another T today, too. I had as many flakes as are needed to not quite fill the other measurement for which T is an abbreviation: a tablespoon.

(A trace is such a meaningless measurement…)


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[lilj4425]

Time to go golfing. It was fun while it lasted which was like three hours. 

[BornAgain13]

As much as I would love to see the GFS/GEFS score this... until Euro is on board, ill stay from getting to excited. 

[GaWx]

49 minutes ago, stormwatcherJ said:

Cold and dry for the next 10 days. Awesome. 

I’m looking forward to cold dominating the next 10 or so days! That 82 F high was a bit much. The cold will be much better for outdoor activities for me.

[BooneWX]

BUMP


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[Met1985]

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

As much as I would love to see the GFS/GEFS score this... until Euro is on board, ill stay from getting to excited. 

I definitely get that for sure but the Euro really missed today's snow here until the last minute.  We will see.

[Met1985]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

I’m looking forward to cold dominating the next 10 or so days! That 82 F high was a bit much. The cold will be much better for outdoor activities for me.

Yes sir Larry.

[Tyler Penland]

32 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I definitely get that for sure but the Euro really missed today's snow here until the last minute.  We will see.

It missed the upslope a bit, but it's been rock solid on upper level features the last 5 days with barely any change. I don't know how much you can really dock it for missing convective snow showers bringing minor accumulations- it's a global model. If it is handling the upper levels better, which it did just fine this go around, I don't foresee anything significant unfortunately. 

The GFS was remarkably off from the Euro until the 84-90 hour mark for this system and the Euro handled the 500mb pattern much, much better overall. We'll see and I certainly hope the GFS has found its nut for the season, but I'm skeptical.