Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 02:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:53 AM 33 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest GEFS extended likes the seven day period ending Jan. 25. Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted yesterday at 02:57 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 AM 40 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest GEFS extended likes the seven day period ending Jan. 25. Lol that's 20 days out lol that's definitely gonna change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted yesterday at 02:58 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:58 AM 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th. If it still shows that in a 2 weeks I'll be more on board lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 03:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:02 AM The Euro Weeklies today look even better in terms of temperatures & precip for the 7 day period ending January 31. Bottom line if the ensembles & Weeklies have the right general idea, we should have chances for Winter storms for mid month through the end of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 03:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:04 AM 5 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Lol that's 20 days out lol that's definitely gonna change Of course…but just showing what the model shows at this time. It should just be used to get a general idea. Hopefully it’s on the right track… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 03:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:10 AM While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 03:12 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:12 AM Just now, TheClimateChanger said: While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! Same story in the District, where the 10-year period ending 12/31/2025 narrowly beat the 10-year period 12/31/2024. I wonder if 2017-2026 will outdo 2016-2025 and 2015-2024. Will be interesting to see. At least 22.2" is needed to avoid a new record - a very solid tally for the District. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted yesterday at 03:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:26 AM You know it's a bad winter when 'it was always' appears in the vocabulary ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM 24 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! "Watching digital snowfall pile up?". Not in this forum sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM 10 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: You know it's a bad winter when 'it was always' appears in the vocabulary ... It was always January 15 and onwards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 03:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:45 AM 34 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! Well you thought wrong. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted yesterday at 04:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:08 AM 4 hours ago, Ji said: Of course it’s true because we saw it on the internet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 04:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:22 AM 46 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! No surprise that the two least snowiest decades also had like 4-5 La ninas. Back in the 70s...between two double-dip la ninas was a super niño that utterly torched everything! So that automatically knocked off 5 years. Now here we are again during this period of time where we've had 6 in the last 10 years. So combine that with what we've lost on the margins...oof! And DC only having to get 22" this winter makes sense as their snowfall during tjis stretch has been better than Baltimore's (including a footer in Jan 2019 that Baltimore only got 4.8" from). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted yesterday at 04:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:29 AM I plotted it out graphically. Ouch. N 125 Mean 21.4 Median 21.7 Std. Dev 4.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted yesterday at 04:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:37 AM 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: While we watch the digital snowfall totals pile up and hope some of that comes into fruition, I thought it would be a good time to take a look back at the historic 10-year snow drought. Very impressive numbers, and we will need some fairly hefty snowfall in 2026 just to keep pace - especially at Baltimore, where nearly three feet (35.1") would need to fall just to prevent 2017-2026 from being even less snowy than 2016-2025. To put that into perspective, only 18 calendar years at Baltimore have seen more than 35.1" of snow! Same down this way 2016-2025 calendar year total 193.6, a 19.4 average, almost 7 inches per year below 1991-2020 average. 2023's 2.0 and 2024's 5.7 were absolutely clusters down here. Last year's and 2018's matching 41.4's semi-saved a terrible 10 year run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 04:40 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:40 AM Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 04:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:41 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 04:42 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:42 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: Gfs Next interesting window. Close to a lot more. Def our first real shot in a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted yesterday at 04:42 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:42 AM 6 minutes ago, wxmeddler said: I plotted it out graphically. Ouch. Speaking of graphics, really like purdue's snowfall climatology page: https://mrcc.purdue.edu/resources/climateTools/snowfallclimatology Snowfall days in this case being 1 inch or greater. But you can play with that. Can also check monthly snowfall. Sad seeing March and December become so weak. November of course is also basically extinct, even if it obviously was never really a snowfall month when it had been colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 04:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:43 AM Next interesting window. Close to a lot more. Def our first real shot in a bit Looking at the 500mb…miracle that we got screwed out of this run but par for the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 04:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:45 AM GFS slowly but surely trending better... 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 04:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:45 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: Looking at the 500mb…miracle that we got screwed out of this run but par for the course Hard to believe so little qpf out of a 996slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 04:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:49 AM Hard to believe so little qpf out of a 996slp.Storm took so long to come together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 04:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:51 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: Storm took so long to come together Par for the course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 04:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:55 AM 9 minutes ago, bncho said: GFS slowly but surely trending better... Definitely close to something more this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 05:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:02 AM barney is coming to town! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 05:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:05 AM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: most reasonable AI GFS run: Great...any snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 05:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:19 AM the end of the GFS was going to be something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 05:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:21 AM 0z GFS has another potential juicy looking system approaching this run on day 16. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 05:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:26 AM 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 0z GFS has another potential juicy looking system approaching this run on day 16. Feels like the high would run away in that scenario...but hey still fantasy, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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