January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[bncho]

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

UKIE making the right moves through 72

Looks like it's tapping more gulf moisture this run

[LP08]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

UKIE making the right moves through 72

Just wide right but a nice move west.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

UKIE making the right moves through 72

But doesn’t work out. Just never turns the wave and crushes h5. Closer but it’s a whiff 

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

UKIE making the right moves through 72

Pretty sure it’s no dice but better than 12z. Onward 

edit: ya’ll fast 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Pretty sure it’s no dice but better than 12z. Onward 

edit: ya’ll fast 

Pivotal was already out to 87 on your first post 

[Ralph Wiggum]

While all the focus right now is short term which isnt a surprise, cant help but feel good about where we're are headed later this month. The period from Jan 27-29 probably holds the best potential of the season thus far. AO flexing, epo still on roids, tpv  being pressed into the NE, waves coming out of the west. Ens seem to be in good agreement attm. Let's get an appetizer this weekend to set the wheels in motion, then we can goon over late month if the looks hold. 

[TowsonWeather]

5 hours ago, Weather Will said:

This picture says it all for those of us in the perpetual snowless zone.  Luckily it is just one run of GOOFUS but since it has been showing the same thing for several winters it is getting depressing.

I don't wanna hear it. The northern suburbs of Baltimore have been the region's snow anus for many years now. Don't try and steal our crown from us! ;-)

[stormtracker]

I'm telling yall, go to bed before the Euro.  Wake up relaxed and ready to fight on another day.  6z prob gonna break hearts too.  It's usually always those two.

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

I'm telling yall, go to bed before the Euro.  Wake up relaxed and ready to fight on another day.  6z prob gonna break hearts too.  It's usually always those two.

I’m feeling a pants tent for tonight’s 0Z Euro. 

[Chris78]

Really nice bump west on the GEFS. 

 

[stormtracker]

Just now, ravensrule said:

I’m feeling a pants tent for tonight’s 0Z Euro. 

Prep for a cold pool

[Ji]

Prep for a cold pool

When’s the last time the euro went from no to snow?

2003?

[ravensrule]

Just now, Ji said:

When’s the last time the euro went from no to snow?

2003?

2026

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

When’s the last time the euro went from no to snow?

2003?

Might as well been.   It's been a long time.  It never does right.  It just doesn't make sudden jumps normally.  Unless it's the wrong way.

[Cobalt]

Just now, Ji said:

When’s the last time the euro went from no to snow?

2003?

CAPE storm back in 2022. GFS was the only one giving that storm a chance up until like 54 hours out. Euro jumped from nothing down to Virginia Beach all the way to 8"+ in DC in maybe 3 runs. 

[SnowGoose69]

FWIW the 00Z RRFS at 84 looks like the GFS down in GA as far as having precip being much more west.  Its been largely awful though this winter season though its done okay on some systems.

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Might as well been.   It's been a long time.  It never does right.  It just doesn't make sudden jumps normally.  Unless it's the wrong way.

Well at least it did tick the right way at 18z...now we'll see if that's all we get for the day or if we can get even a tick or two better. Or maybe I'm just a lunatick

[DraydenWX]

14 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

I don't wanna hear it. The northern suburbs of Baltimore have been the region's snow anus for many years now. Don't try and steal our crown from us! ;-)

 

11 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I’m feeling a pants tent for tonight’s 0Z Euro. 

Maybe you two ought to get together tonight!

[stormtracker]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Well at least it did tick the right way at 18z...now we'll see if that's all we get for the day or if we can get even a tick or two better. Or maybe I'm just a lunatick

[bncho]

Euro is running. I just wanna see a NW trend.

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

What the frickle is that??? 

Edit: Nvm I'll save that for banter

[bncho]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

What the frickle is that???

It's you. A lunatick.

[NorthArlington101]

Hate to say it but AIFS is a total whiff. Guess I’m awake for the Euro…

[stormtracker]

So far on the Euro, carbon copy to 18z at H5

[stormtracker]

Not a damn thing notable so far.  Unremarkably the same

[Ji]

Not a damn thing notable so far.  Unremarkably the same

Pisses me off

[stormtracker]

Seriously think the Euro is programmed not to change

[Ji]

Seriously think the Euro is programmed not to change

You have to the the geekiest of geek weenie to
See a difference so far

[Ji]

Seriously think the Euro is programmed not to change

The trough is 3 miles more west