January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[mitchnick]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Ok, so obvioulsy the h5 map is markedly different for the cape storm so far..but I mean, if storm 1 happens, I don't think we'd care much if this one dudes...which seems possible

Yep. Storm 1 has literally sucked the energy out of the cc atmosphere for sure. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

DC to Bangor Blizzard?

[stormtracker]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Yep. Storm 1 has literally sucked the energy out of the cc atmosphere for sure. 

I'd be fine with that.  Nice storm, closer time frame.  SOLD

[stormtracker]

Yeah, capetown storm is gonna be a dud on this run.

[mattie g]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Yep. Storm 1 has literally sucked the energy out of the cc atmosphere for sure. 

Maybe we should cancel storm 1 so we can get storm 2. Whaddaya think?

[TSSN+]

CMC no where near gfs 

[mitchnick]

Vort in the Cape storm made a quick recovery surprisingly. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Alright y'all stare at the run for 5 more mins then throw it out for your own sanity 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

CMC no where near gfs 

What's new lol

[TSSN+]

Here’s the cmc. What storm anywhere.. lol

 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Vort in the Cape storm made a quick recovery surprisingly. 

Not seeing it

[Ralph Wiggum]

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

CMC no where near gfs 

CMC said what storm....y'all a bunch of 

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Not seeing it

Cuts the sw off over the sw. Then moves it west to over California lol. Ya I’d say that’s unlikely. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

CMC said what storm

Sadly probably right lol. But hopefully not 

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Not seeing it

Cape storm doa this run. Thats a fair tradeoff if you ask me.

[winter_warlock]

2nd storm over 200 hours away im sure it's gonna change more then a few more times in the next 9 to 10 days lol 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Cape storm doa this run. Thats a fair tradeoff if you ask me.

Yeah, I'd take this trade off.   Hope the weenies aren't mad that it's going to be totally different by tomorrow this time.

[TSSN+]

Welp sure as hell not staying up for the euro for something so far out. See you all in the morning. Best of luck to any weenies that will be up to see a solution that’s probably not going to be the actual solution. 

[mitchnick]

25 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Not seeing it

From 180hrs to 189 the tlvort recovered.  But it wasn't enough. 12z Gfs crushed NC only to vanish at 18z. Probably our turn for a rug pulls. Hope not. Maybe Gfs is on to something, just overdone. 

[winter_warlock]

  18z and 00z couldn't be any more different lol

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

  18z and 00z couldn't be any more different lol

To say the obvious, we gotta get through the first storm first. And we’ve got 3 days at minimum til we can feel like we’ve got that one even sorta figured out 

[Chris78]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, I'd take this trade off.   Hope the weenies aren't mad that it's going to be totally different by tomorrow this time.

Fully expecting to wake up to angry @Ji posts that the gfs 6z took away 20" of snow.

[bncho]

lol

[winter_warlock]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

To say the obvious, we gotta get through the first storm first. And we’ve got 3 days at minimum til we can feel like we’ve got that one even sorta figured out 

 Agreed!!! The second storm is over 200 hours out. We got plenty of time for that. Need to nail down the first storm  before worrying about the next one lol

[Solution Man]

Go to bed happy and enjoy what you saw tonight or enjoy what you may see tonight.

[stormtracker]

Just now, Chris78 said:

Fully expecting to wake up to angry @Ji posts that the gfs 6z took away 20" of snow.

Just do like most of us do...look to the left, see the avatar and just scroll past accordingly

[winter_warlock]

Just now, bncho said:

lol

 Wow!!

[mitchnick]

Gem looks like it may have lost storm 2. Vort is almost gone at 180hrs to a strung out mess.

[mitchnick]

Gem a complete bust. 

But Ukie might be loading up at the end of its 168hrs run. Idk how it would end.

[WEATHER53]

39 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

 Damn that does look eerily similar!!!

2016?