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January 2026 OBS and Discussion


TriPol
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The last time we were able to pull off that feat was back in 2009.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jan Lowest Maximum Temperature
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1875 37 0
- 1857 37 1
2 1867 39 0
3 1881 40 0
- 1856 40 0
4 1873 42 0
5 1884 43 0
- 1877 43 0
- 1868 43 0
- 1861 43 0
6 1948 44 0
- 1865 44 1
7 1977 45 0
- 1883 45 0
- 1866 45 0
8 1971 46 0
9 1956 47 0
- 1896 47 0
- 1879 47 0
10 2009 48 0
- 1970 48 0
- 1969 48 0
- 1941 48 0
- 1882 48 0
- 1878 48 0
- 1872 48 0
11 1922 49 1
- 1871 49 0

Any data for that criteria, no days 50+ in January, in Orange County airport in Montgomery NY?

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7 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

Main story by me is that everything - the street, sidewalks, etc - are a slick sheet of ice.  It's a crusty 1/4-1/2" of frozen combo.

I was woken up by some gusts of wind while it was still dark out but fell back asleep.  Now I know what it was.

Caps off a start to meteorological winter that I would have gladly signed up for if you asked me in October.

Happy New Year!  All the best for a happy and a healthy 2026.

Ice?  Was able to broom this light powdery snow off very easily.  

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A snow squall associated with an Arctic cold front brought Central Park its first measurable New Year's Day snowfall since 1987. In the wake of the frontal passage, a series of cold days lies ahead.

The first week of January could have a mean temperature below 30° in New York City. If that happends, it would be the coldest opening week of January since 2018. The only years since 2000 with a sub-30° mean temperature for the opening week of January were 2001, 2010, 2014 and 2018.

Milder weather could develop on or around January 7th. The milder period appears likely to last for about a week, but there is some uncertainty about its duration. Afterward, conditions could become more favorable for both cold and snowfall, especially if the PNA goes positive.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around December 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter.

The SOI was +2.39 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.973 today. 

 

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3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Final Snowfall Totals from the Snow Squall:

Bridgeport: Trace
Islip: 0.4"
New York City-Central Park: 0.5"
New York City-JFK Airport: 0.4"
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: Trace
Newark: 0.7"

LGA is usually pretty reliable with measurements. They must not have bothered to measure. It seems unlikely they didn't get something measurable. 

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The latest temperature anomaly map from the CPC is not looking good. Has us at above average temperatures up until January 14 or so. And it doesn’t look like there will be much precipitation either. Seems like warmer and dry, but if we can get some storms reversing across the US then maybe we can sneak something our way despite the overall above average temperatures. It’s usually somewhat workable when you have an active southern jet and some storms even when the temperatures are a bit above average, especially in January when we are in Peak Climo. But it looks like most of the US will be shut out of any winter weather and cold through the mid month aside from some parts of the Rockies.

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