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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread


John1122
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3 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Maybe we better start looking at the QPF trends?  I have to think a 1040+ hp sitting to the north of this is a big problem, especially since it is well west of the Apps into the Midwest or plains.  

Well I am changing my tune now. The HP isn't much different access models. But the main thing is how much Baja energy is injected. UK and CMC fully pull it east into the system. While the ICON and GFS don't. That amps the up the storm more than anything 

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1 minute ago, fountainguy97 said:

Well I am changing my tune now. The HP isn't much different access models. But the main thing is how much Baja energy is injected. UK and CMC fully pull it east into the system. While the ICON and GFS don't. That amps the up the storm more than anything 

IMG_4894.gif.3e4f499d5604d88a21caa691732860dc.gif

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3 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

Well I am changing my tune now. The HP isn't much different access models. But the main thing is how much Baja energy is injected. UK and CMC fully pull it east into the system. While the ICON and GFS don't. That amps the up the storm more than anything 

What are you changing your tune to?  

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1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said:

I hope they aren't riding w/ the lowest verification score, right?  I think the GFS is about to be badly wrong.

I think it's going to do something that is about as specific as you can get but yeah some people are gonna be surprised.

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The lighter ICON is worse to me..lighter precipitation plus colder surface...easier for to accumulate on powerlines.

I already called the city over the three power poles in my subdivision that have been leaning since the last snow storm.


.
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Yeah I don't see it on NWS Chat or by Email. Are they even public? If they are for EMs they must have a new VIP list that doesn't include me, ha!

1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said:

Where did you find that?

In other news, end of the Canadian is a full latitude double/triple phase classic Miller A bomb!

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