40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wondering if we can really rip on an ORH-PVD line now fora couple hours. That ML fronto has been holding together stronger on each run. Folks laughed at my map, but let's see how this play out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hopefully just 5.4” Let’s get a bitter cold shot for the chickens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Nasty dryslot into BGM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Let’s get a bitter cold shot for the chickens. 14/1 today and they were not happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 37 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Some other thoughts on this event. It's not a typical clipper as it moves SE the entire time. It also can't rapidly develop offshore, at least initially b/c it is too "crowded." The strong cold front and disturbance aloft the gave the SN to northern New England yesterday? That system rapidly developed last night S of Nova Scotia and is now intense (see 12z sfc map attached). So when it is crowded like this, another trough/disturbance so close behind it often has no "room" to develop much, and will get forced more SE rather than E.As I mentioned yesterday, this is a *darn* good snowfall for such a weak low pressure. The sfc low does not get below 1006 mb as it passes. Usually, a snowfall of this magnitude has low pressure below 1000 and more often closer to 990. And aloft at 500, it is nothing special either. Just a little "dent" in strong WNW flow. The strong Arctic high pressure to our NE supplying a wedge of low-level cold air damning to the SW over the region makes all the difference here.Who would have thought having the mean trough position too far *east* for an East Coast weenie blockbuster could do this? CoastalWx recently told me, "this pattern BLOWS!" Ok, does it now? And it is not a case of the ambient pressure field in place prior keeping the low from not getting that "deep." The sfc high to the NE is "only" 1033 mb and center well NE near Labrador, and, as I said above, nothing much at all at 500, and even at 850, it barely cuts off one contour, so not a low-least beast like a Gulf wave often is.The 18z HRRR is forecasting up to 18" in central NY (Cooperstown area). There is no lake effect snow involved here and elevation in that area is not a factor (no little bulls-eyes on the higher areas, it's a broad 12-18" area), so 12-18" is a lot for such a weak storm like this. That much synoptic snow from a clipper?And another factor I think? It's been very mild W of New England across a large part of the country, and very wet storms have been impacting the West, so more moisture in the mean is available overall and associated w/ the clipper. So you can "blame" the more snow here from mild winter temps partially! Imagine that. Oh haha you are Boris from weather enthusiasts on Facebook lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh haha you are Boris from weather enthusiasts on Facebook lol Becker? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nasty dryslot into BGM Worried about a dry slot when the sfc low passes more than 300 mi S of you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Becker? Lol Konin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Max DGZ was up around H5-6. Euro had that punching through toward 00z. But I don’t think BGM was expecting much after 00z anyway? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, vortex95 said: Worried about a dry slot when the sfc low passes more than 300 mi S of you? No lol. I want BGm to slot and pinch that lift NE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: 14/1 today and they were not happy. No eggs for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Becker? He developed the GRAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Lol Konin "The Spider" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: No eggs for you. 1 today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, dendrite said: He developed the GRAF. Russian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Russian? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Euro? Bump NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, vortex95 said: "The Spider" Great stuff...appreciate your posts...just made the connection lol. I'm Ray from that group. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Great stuff...appreciate your posts...just made the connection lol. I'm Ray from that group. I taught him a lot 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago We euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Great stuff...appreciate your posts...just made the connection lol. I'm Ray from that group. And Ray, I didn’t laugh at your post. I just didn’t see the ingredients coming together like that. You know more than me and I will tip my cap if I get 6” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bump NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bump NE Nice, let’s score 4-5” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago There are some signals another max (albeit probably weaker than the main one) developing here...exactly what Ray was indicating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I love you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I taught him a lot Something tells me it's vice versa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: And Ray, I didn’t laugh at your post. I just didn’t see the ingredients coming together like that. You know more than me and I will tip my cap if I get 6” No, not you...some of the emojis..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Something tells me it's vice versa he’s a good met. He realized he had his hands full when I came aboard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hrrr still makes me nervous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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