Snow Potential Dec 26-27

[North and West]

Euro colder

Can’t believe I’m saying this, but does a storm like this give 1994 vibes to the old timers here? Just the unusualness of it, if it occurs.




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[NorthShoreWx]

8 minutes ago, North and West said:

Can’t believe I’m saying this, but does a storm like this give 1994 vibes to the old timers here? Just the unusualness of it, if it occurs.




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Not sure, maybe, but I'm leaving open the possibility that we have one of those rare years where everything over performs like 2005.  If nothing happens tomorrow or Friday, then probably not.

[SnowGoose69]

7 minutes ago, North and West said:

Can’t believe I’m saying this, but does a storm like this give 1994 vibes to the old timers here? Just the unusualness of it, if it occurs.




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Nothing ever took that funky track but these were back to back overrunning events, first one was all snow, 2nd one was mixed.

 

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1994/us0126.php

 

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1994/us0127.php

[North and West]

Not sure, maybe, but I'm leaving open the possibility that we have one of those rare years where everything over performs like 2005.  If nothing happens tomorrow or Friday, then probably not.

I got you. I’m thinking more about the individual event; that year will never be replicated.


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[Stormlover74]

24 minutes ago, North and West said:

Can’t believe I’m saying this, but does a storm like this give 1994 vibes to the old timers here? Just the unusualness of it, if it occurs.




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Lots of overrunning snow to sleet to freezing rain

[MJO812]

Icon gonna be south

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Icon gonna be south

 

[MJO812]

Way south from past runs

[Krs4Lfe]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Way south from past runs

Verbatim Thats a pretty quick mover . In and out in about 8 hours. Seems like the further south it goes, it becomes a bit more sheared out and a bit quicker moving as well 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Verbatim Thats a pretty quick mover . In and out in about 8 hours. Seems like the further south it goes, it becomes a bit more sheared out and a bit quicker moving as well 

Are you ever happy ?

[MJO812]

AI gfs

[WeatherGeek2025]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

AI gfs

MECS? Anthony?

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

MECS? Anthony?

Gfs is a beauty

[eduggs]

Both GFS and GFS-AI ticked slightly further north vs. 18z. Still snowy (some ice SW) for most areas. Kind of the sweet spot right now.

[MJO812]

Heavy precip from Philly to NYC 

[eduggs]

Wintry 5 days on the GFS! Might even squeeze in some flakes or ZR on Xmas day in the weak wave in between the Tue and Fri night events.

[eduggs]

Not much margin for error since the cold side precipitation is unlikely to be extremely widespread. But run to run changes are decreasing in magnitude and most mid-range guidance appears to be converging on at least some wintry precip. locally. Obviously a fringing or ZR to rain are still possible but the envelope appears to be shrinking.

[cleetussnow]

Gfs is what you want to see 5 days out.  We want this thing to have wiggle room to come north. 

This is a weird storm though. Like some kind of atomic clipper.  

[WeatherGeek2025]

that's a nice run

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Gfs is what you want to see 5 days out.  We want this thing to have wiggle room to come north. 

This is a weird storm though. Like some kind of atomic clipper.  

We used to get these all the time in the 90s and early 2000s.

[Stormlover74]

Cmc