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Possible Light Snowfall (1" - 4") on Tuesday Dec 23


Northof78
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6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start?

Hey, I hope it works! 

If the snow/overrunning move in quickly while the cold air is still in place it can work. If it delays and the cold air moves out, it won’t. We’ve seen this game before. 

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6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start?

Hey, I hope it works! 

No one is

Coating to 2 inches possible , higher end if the southern trend continue.

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Just now, jm1220 said:

If the snow/overrunning move in quickly while the cold air is still in place it can work. If it delays and the cold air moves out, it won’t. We’ve seen this game before. 

Its not a strong low . Its a shredded low with blocking . 

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1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

I wouldn't be throwing around limited numbers now - we were doing that 60 hours prior to last weekends storm and it over performed - leave all options open this far out.........

Last airmass was colder than this one .

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6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Last airmass was colder than this one .

not according to SnowGoose - he wrote previously--

"The airmass believe it or not is better than it was with the last event.  At least to start.  Its 32/13 on the NAM at 12Z.  The bigger risk with this is it just is largely too far north in the end."

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Huh? The link to the NWS blend of models is the TOTAL snowfall out to 89 hours, which is Wednesday. Look at what it’s showing…that’s now till Wednesday, total. And the GEFS is in complete disagreement with its own operational run, that is fact and it’s a red flag

you guys are spending Christmas together, aren’t you


.
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42 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Its not a strong low . Its a shredded low with blocking . 

I’m in Austin currently and flying back on Tuesday so part of me doesn’t want this to happen, but if it does and we can secure the White Christmas great. Somehow through a miracle my flight took off yesterday even though the first 15 minutes were pretty white knuckle. Wearing shorts and temp around 70, 70s expected for the rest of my time here. 

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10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I’m in Austin currently and flying back on Tuesday so part of me doesn’t want this to happen, but if it does and we can secure the White Christmas great. Somehow through a miracle my flight took off yesterday even though the first 15 minutes were pretty white knuckle. Wearing shorts and temp around 70, 70s expected for the rest of my time here. 

I dont think it will . We shall see.

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1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

 

Weather is always the airlines excuse. It's in most cases not the weather. It's because they suck. 

We took off yesterday afternoon so not always. Any snow threat always seems to do it though. I thought for sure I’d be delayed by a ton or canceled. Had a couple screams on the plane on the way out of JFK. 

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