Blizzard of 93 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago The 6z Euro gets a Warning level event to a good chunk of the LSV thanks to the Norlun trough setting up over our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago A compromise between the Euro & GFS would deliver a significant event to many of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6z GEFS, EPS & AI EPS agree on at least a solid Advisory level snow for us this Sunday into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Our snow cover is finally melting with just a few inches left here in NW Chester County. Today will be our 34th straight day with at least an inch of snow on the ground. This now ties this streak for the 10th longest on record and 13th overall with records back to 1894. Our rain chances to ramp up this evening and especially tomorrow. We could certainly use the rain as many spots are around half of normal precipitation so far this year and have run at a significant deficit for much of the last 7 months. Temperatures may struggle to escape the 30’s today for the higher elevation spots. We turn milder and drier on Saturday with highs a few degrees above normal. We turn colder Sunday with a chance of snow arriving and if we get some it may continue into Monday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Low of 33 and foggy but with no rain yet. The overnight runs were a mixed bag but more bad than good. My fear, and most likely outcome at this point, is that we are too far west to cash in on the best of the coastal and too far east for the best of the upper level trough action. Stuck somewhere in the middle with a showery couple, to perhaps a few, inches. Next 36 hours critical for any hope with the coastal. 12z looms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Never a good thing when the GFS is by itself. The model should be destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 19 minutes ago, anotherman said: Never a good thing when the GFS is by itself. The model should be destroyed. have you looded at cmc/euro/ens? Not sure I'm feeling the same as you. GFS might be BEST, case scenario, but plenty of other guidance showing a decent event. We've all done this long enough to not focus on best case, as odds are extremely low of it verifying, but consensus suggests were getting a modest event sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago What a warm up... I know the forecast temps dropped toward late week, but damn, it's 35 and damp as hell this morning. It almost feels worse than the previous frigid cold temps the past few weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Voyager said: What a warm up... I know the forecast temps dropped toward late week, but damn, it's 35 and damp as hell this morning. It almost feels worse than the previous frigid cold temps the past few weeks. My oldish bones said the same thing the last 2 days. They prefer 20 crisp n clear vs 35-37 damp dreary. guess i do still like the cold more than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The NAM is just odd. It literally shows nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 46 minutes ago, Voyager said: What a warm up... I know the forecast temps dropped toward late week, but damn, it's 35 and damp as hell this morning. It almost feels worse than the previous frigid cold temps the past few weeks. And it again it's been cloudy for awhile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18 minutes ago, AccuChris said: The NAM is just odd. It literally shows nothing . Maybe we should start raising the flag with the fork on it. Quite a few letdowns again this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said: I just went back and checked these storms out. It definitely was a impressive cluster all things considered. It started putting down lightning in Charlotte Michigan and didn't stop putting down consistent strokes until somewhere around State Gamelands, 114 in the Northern Allegheny Plateau. They were definitely pretty impressive! Was not expecting to be woken up by a thunderstorm last night that’s for sure! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 45 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Maybe we should start raising the flag with the fork on it. Quite a few letdowns again this winter. Or go look at nooner GFS. Beatdown incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z GFS refuses to back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS will not relent. Throws out monster and ticks west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 12z GFS refuses to back down . Man if every i wanted to believe in the GFS, this run is it. It's a DOOZY w/ 12+ for SE Pa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: GFS will not relent. Throws out monster and ticks west. NAM was king in 2016. GFS wants the crown in 2026 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: NAM was king in 2016. GFS wants the crown in 2026 Man, it doesnt want to back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Is she on to something or will she be left at the alter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Man, it doesnt want to back down. If the Euro trends twds something better with spacing, we might be onto a nice event for many. CMC is like a fish flappin outta water. Was hoping it would not buck the trends. ICON is a bit better but nowhere close to GFS evolution and is sorta in euro camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Is she on to something or will she be left at the alter on fantasy island? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Is she on to something or will she be left at the alter?She’s batshit crazy and the other models all see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: She’s batshit crazy and the other models all see it. Probably true but in her mind the next man to come along is always Mr. Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago AI GooFuS sharper more neg tilted and slightly W of 6z for money panels. Other lesser storm models have not trended against us, so small wins if you want snow. PLENTY of time for this to go gooder/bader, but I'm cool w/ where we are right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 52 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Or go look at nooner GFS. Beatdown incoming. We need that come up about 60 miles north and west! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: We need that come up about 60 miles north and west! plenty of time for that to happen.... or not. lol with other models coming back around to the storm idea, at least that consensus is forming in a favorable way. pretty wide goalposts tho and we are on the far left side. Starting to feel like a plowable event is looking like a good possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I don't recall the last time I've seen an inverted trough show up on so many models so far in advance - someone will approach warning criteria snowfall from that alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted 57 minutes ago Share Posted 57 minutes ago What in the hell is going on? I'll admit: I've checked out. That storm in January and the prolonged cold was more than sufficient and I've had other things going on to grab my already taxed attention span. I haven't paid really any attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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