Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[MickeyTim6533]

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

By the way, thanks for taking my post yesterday and copy pasting it in other forums. Just when I think you can't get worse, you find new ways to do just that. 

youre not allowed to copy posts? sorry, new here. was a post from MU, not yours personally. so i thought it was ok, my apologies

[Itstrainingtime]

4 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

youre not allowed to copy posts? sorry, new here. was a post from MU, not yours personally. so i thought it was ok, my apologies

I'm sure you would have done the same if he was predicting a blizzard, right?

You clearly have one agenda here. We've been through this, yet you continue to only post negative stuff in this thread, the Philly thread, the MA thread...

Many people, many long time posters have you on ignore. There's a reason for that. 

[pasnownut]

10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I don't think I've ever rooted harder for a storm to hit us.   

Know that my post wasnt at you at all, just reading what you shared from him.  While he no doubt is talented, anyone that's been in this game long enough knows that speaking in absolutes (or undertones thereof) is gonna take it on the chin once in a while.  I think that's the rub w/ ctp, they historically dismiss until the bitter end, while using the 70/30 rule of betting on warm/ain't happening rule of modelology.  

[MickeyTim6533]

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'm sure you would have done the same if he was predicting a blizzard, right?

You clearly have one agenda here. We've been through this, yet you continue to only post negative stuff in this thread, the Philly thread, the MA thread...

Many people, many long time posters have you on ignore. There's a reason for that. 

i want a snowstorm as much as anybody, so yes, i would have posted that if he said it. again, my apologies

[pasnownut]

13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I said last week that this coming weekend had my interest. Suppression just doesn't seem to fit the current regime. I'm much more concerned about over-amped than a whiff south. 

lol.  just stated the same. Here's to smart minds.  

[Itstrainingtime]

3 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

i want a snowstorm as much as anybody, so yes, i would have posted that if he said it. again, my apologies

Okay, if that's true, and I'll take your word for it, then please start at least sharing some positive things to balance your posts out. If anyone would look at your posting history in this thread, it is filled with these words/phrases:

"Whiff" (a bunch)

Wayyy south (a bunch)

Rain (too many)

Rainer (this is a new one today)

Miss (far too often)

That is almost literally your posting history here. How are we to accept you if this is all that you contribute? 

 

[MickeyTim6533]

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Okay, if that's true, and I'll take your word for it, then please start at least sharing some positive things to balance your posts out. If anyone would look at your posting history in this thread, it is filled with these words/phrases:

"Whiff" (a bunch)

Wayyy south (a bunch)

Rain (too many)

Rainer (this is a new one today)

Miss (far too often)

That is almost literally your posting history here. How are we to accept you if this is all that you contribute? 

 

ok deal

[pasnownut]

just went over to ready CTP's disco, and I'm gonna say, that it was rather reasonable.  they threw in some snippets about using old forecaster rule of thumb about betting against something that has yet to hit the west coast and ens guidance suggesting otherwise/norther solutions not being dismissed yet.  Thats reasonable and what many of us old weenies use as baselines for most events (when in med/long term) model watching. 

[pasnownut]

Just now, MickeyTim6533 said:

ok deal

I was going to type something along the lines of what TT just did to offer up some suggestions to reduce the amount of trolling you receive.  He's not wrong.

Saying things like you do without offering a snippet of info as to why YOU think it may "not happen" is a good way to muck up the board and get trolled.  Post what you feel...and why you feel it.  It's ok to be wrong in here....but sometimes your right and maybe we learn from each other.  That's what this board is supposed to be right?  A disco thread. Carry on.

[pawatch]

38 degrees currently, probably shorts weather for some of you.

Sundays storm another difficult one to pin down.Thanks to everyone trying to figure it out.

Found this interesting on weather nation. Was talking about Williamsport and how cold they have been. Monday this was on.

 

[Itstrainingtime]

Forecast high for today was 38, at 10:50 in the morning it's 42. 

[pasnownut]

nooner GFS continues to tick N (slp and qpf field).  Not a snowy look, but definitely would not write off the storm at all.