Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, WmsptWx said:

Lock it in. Not a single person on here misses out on that solution. 

I hope its still 60 in KPIT 

[pasnownut]

41 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yeah, as I tell my toddler, "Go to your room and recharge your batteries."  Professional mets can't be howling about the inconsistencies of the various models; leave that for us amateurs ha.

So well stated.  He's stealin our stuff and using it on his board.

Poor form, unless he gives our sub some creds for his posting style 

[Ruin]

2 hours ago, canderson said:

Meta are experts and are taught and expected to read through multiple scenarios and atmospheric conditions and use your analysis to make a forecast.  It’s forecasting, not model reading.  

These days they pretty much do model watching. Some may do legwork 80%dont

[Jns2183]

Is anyone else here extremely interested in how the AI models handle this vs the normal models vs the forecasters? I think this is great little litmus test. A rare event without many analogs. If anything I can think this maybe where AI shines. If we know CTP they will wait till writing is on the wall with this.

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[Jns2183]

Also if anyone has any weird data analysis requests, I have time to handle it the next few days.

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[AccuChris]

18z GFS kuchera snow and sleet for Friday



.

[Jns2183]

I thought this was worthy of bringing to attention. The cold in Canada currently is crazy. Coldest temperatures in 50 years!!!

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[Blizzard of 93]

I like this post from @mitchnick in his home away from home thread….

“It shows up on the snow depth map. Our snow depth (including sleet of course), is greater than some all snow locations thanks to the density of the sleet.”

[canderson]

50 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I thought this was worthy of bringing to attention. The cold in Canada currently is crazy. Coldest temperatures in 50 years!!!

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That’s what is bringing the major wind storm here Monday. 
 

BTW had the Plummy Wummy tonight - delicious! 

[Voyager]

To say I am not amused at the continuing weather pattern is an understatement.

Does anybody see a break on the horizon, or are we locked in? 

If something doesn't change after the new year, I might end up in a really bad place...

[Jns2183]

I think I have the flu. Whatever just hit me in the last hour has me laying in my bathroom floor, with pillows, blankets, far too sick to move.

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[canderson]

15 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I think I have the flu. Whatever just hit me in the last hour has me laying in my bathroom floor, with pillows, blankets, far too sick to move.

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It’s going around. 20 or so coworkers of mine have it that I know.  

[mahantango#1]

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

To say I am not amused at the continuing weather pattern is an understatement.

Does anybody see a break on the horizon, or are we locked in? 

If something doesn't change after the new year, I might end up in a really bad place...

I think you need to take a vacation to Southern Florida for 2 weeks to rejuvenate from the weather.

[Voyager]

1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said:

I think you need to take a vacation to Southern Florida for 2 weeks to rejuvenate from the weather.

I do, but I can't. I'm stuck...

[mahantango#1]

33 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I think I have the flu. Whatever just hit me in the last hour has me laying in my bathroom floor, with pillows, blankets, far too sick to move.

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Feel better soon. Yes its going around, and from what I heard it is a nasty virus.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

To say I am not amused at the continuing weather pattern is an understatement.

Does anybody see a break on the horizon, or are we locked in? 

If something doesn't change after the new year, I might end up in a really bad place...

Tomorrow should be relatively nice with sun & temps in the low 40s.

Hopefully that helps a bit.

[Yardstickgozinya]

 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

To say I am not amused at the continuing weather pattern is an understatement.

Does anybody see a break on the horizon, or are we locked in? 

If something doesn't change after the new year, I might end up in a really bad place...

Voyager, with all due respect, and I have empathy for what you’re going through, I really do, but this is a weather forum where the vast majority of us are rooting for winter weather in winter. The negative posts can be a bit much at times. I really hope you get to a better place sometime soon. 

[Voyager]

Unlike those who work in an office or other enclosed building, and have a short commute to work and home, I work outside for a good portion of my day and drive 10-12 hours in whatever winter throws at us. Cold and snow makes what I do for a living exponentially more difficult (and dangerous sometimes) than on warm days.

That being said, even though it's imperative that I know how the weather is going to affect my day, perhaps it's time for a break from this forum until spring.

My apologies...

 

[mahantango#1]

44 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Unlike those who work in an office or other enclosed building, and have a short commute to work and home, I work outside for a good portion of my day and drive 10-12 hours in whatever winter throws at us. Cold and snow makes what I do for a living exponentially more difficult (and dangerous sometimes) than on warm days.

That being said, even though it's imperative that I know how the weather is going to affect my day, perhaps it's time for a break from this forum until spring.

My apologies...

 

We need those winter weather reports from Tamaqua. You matter! 

[Blizzard of 93]

0z GFS shows heavy sleet for most of us on Friday.

Warning level snow for northeast PA this run.

[Festus]

Watch hoisted for the whole forum.  More than 48 hours in advance - might be a new record for CTP.

Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations between one
  tenth and three tenths of an inch possible.