Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, WmsptWx said:

Lock it in. Not a single person on here misses out on that solution. 

I hope its still 60 in KPIT 

[pasnownut]

41 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yeah, as I tell my toddler, "Go to your room and recharge your batteries."  Professional mets can't be howling about the inconsistencies of the various models; leave that for us amateurs ha.

So well stated.  He's stealin our stuff and using it on his board.

Poor form, unless he gives our sub some creds for his posting style 

[Ruin]

2 hours ago, canderson said:

Meta are experts and are taught and expected to read through multiple scenarios and atmospheric conditions and use your analysis to make a forecast.  It’s forecasting, not model reading.  

These days they pretty much do model watching. Some may do legwork 80%dont

[Jns2183]

Is anyone else here extremely interested in how the AI models handle this vs the normal models vs the forecasters? I think this is great little litmus test. A rare event without many analogs. If anything I can think this maybe where AI shines. If we know CTP they will wait till writing is on the wall with this.

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[Jns2183]

Also if anyone has any weird data analysis requests, I have time to handle it the next few days.

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[AccuChris]

18z GFS kuchera snow and sleet for Friday



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[Jns2183]

I thought this was worthy of bringing to attention. The cold in Canada currently is crazy. Coldest temperatures in 50 years!!!

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[Blizzard of 93]

I like this post from @mitchnick in his home away from home thread….

“It shows up on the snow depth map. Our snow depth (including sleet of course), is greater than some all snow locations thanks to the density of the sleet.”

[canderson]

50 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I thought this was worthy of bringing to attention. The cold in Canada currently is crazy. Coldest temperatures in 50 years!!!

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That’s what is bringing the major wind storm here Monday. 
 

BTW had the Plummy Wummy tonight - delicious! 

[Voyager]

To say I am not amused at the continuing weather pattern is an understatement.

Does anybody see a break on the horizon, or are we locked in? 

If something doesn't change after the new year, I might end up in a really bad place...