Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,391
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Kabraxis
    Newest Member
    Kabraxis
    Joined

The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)


GaWx
 Share

Recommended Posts

12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The issue is that without an established Arctic airmass it simply got too warm before start time. This wasn’t a situation where it started at 40 degrees and the wet bulb was 30. It was 40 with a wet bulb of 39. Upper and mid levels are fine, hence all the snow mix, but it is taking too much time to cool lower levels. Cold chasing moisture fail mode #1. Accumulation south of border looks minimal at best. Even Richmond struggled just north of main band though they are snowing good now. My cousin there said they have less than 1” even though it’s been snowing since 8 am. Only areas getting heaviest rates are getting big totals and there is a quick drop off on either side. Central and eastern NC could see some accumulation with some coastal development like the HRRR has been throwing out but this main area of precip isn’t going to produce much for anyone not in Virginia 

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too. 

3-4” would be big. Max totals forecast in warning area were 3-5”. This wasn’t ever going to be bigger than that, it was a borderline warning event in Va

  • Like 2
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

After hovering around 32.2° all day, the temperature has finally dropped below freezing to 31.8°.  I measured 1" of snow at 1pm, but it doesn't look like much has accumulated since then despite the continuation of steady light to moderate snow. Looking at radar, once this steady snow ends, it looks like flurries and snow showers will continue into the evening. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

In summary, we had snow for about 3 hours with a burst of heavier snow at the end - between 2 and 2:30 pm.  Nothing stuck to the ground or even elevated surfaces.  Still technically snowing very lightly now.  

Better than nothing though...

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Additional QPF. Raleigh may end up with half an inch or so this evening 

hrrr_apcpn_neus_12.png

 

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Raleigh is going to zero out on accumulation unless there is an additional burst tonight.

Agreed- that map is suspect. We have only gotten 0.06” for the event that’s telling me we have more than that to go when the back edge already moved out. Just random flurries now. No clue where that would come from

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

 

Agreed- that map is suspect. We have only gotten 0.06” for the event that’s telling me we have more than that to go when the back edge already moved out. Just random flurries now. No clue where that would come from

Not unless we get streamers from Falls Lake LOL. The GFS definitely failed this one

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Not unless we get streamers from Falls Lake LOL. The GFS definitely failed this one

The good news is I never expected much from this but I was hopeful for coating. Did think someone in wake would see 1/2” to 1” based on CAMs but they pulled the rug mostly on that yesterday 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

3-4” would be big. Max totals forecast in warning area were 3-5”. This wasn’t ever going to be bigger than that, it was a borderline warning event in Va

Looking at some of the early snow totals from the warned area in Virginia, it appears like many locations were able to meet warning critera. With a few hours to go before the snow ends, some may exceed what was expected by quite a bit. 

vasn.thumb.jpg.1cb970228aa78a897b406afa1ad2dd46.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The good news is I never expected much from this but I was hopeful for coating. Did think someone in wake would see 1/2” to 1” based on CAMs but they pulled the rug mostly on that yesterday 

Neither did I which is why I went to Virginia again. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

 

Agreed- that map is suspect. We have only gotten 0.06” for the event that’s telling me we have more than that to go when the back edge already moved out. Just random flurries now. No clue where that would come from

The wrap around light snow is starting to pivot into wake county. May only affect the Northern part of the county and will be relatively minor but I think will lead to some light accumulation in spots

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...