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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)


GaWx
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12 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

The issue is that without an established Arctic airmass it simply got too warm before start time. This wasn’t a situation where it started at 40 degrees and the wet bulb was 30. It was 40 with a wet bulb of 39. Upper and mid levels are fine, hence all the snow mix, but it is taking too much time to cool lower levels. Cold chasing moisture fail mode #1. Accumulation south of border looks minimal at best. Even Richmond struggled just north of main band though they are snowing good now. My cousin there said they have less than 1” even though it’s been snowing since 8 am. Only areas getting heaviest rates are getting big totals and there is a quick drop off on either side. Central and eastern NC could see some accumulation with some coastal development like the HRRR has been throwing out but this main area of precip isn’t going to produce much for anyone not in Virginia 

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too. 

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8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too. 

3-4” would be big. Max totals forecast in warning area were 3-5”. This wasn’t ever going to be bigger than that, it was a borderline warning event in Va

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After hovering around 32.2° all day, the temperature has finally dropped below freezing to 31.8°.  I measured 1" of snow at 1pm, but it doesn't look like much has accumulated since then despite the continuation of steady light to moderate snow. Looking at radar, once this steady snow ends, it looks like flurries and snow showers will continue into the evening. 

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