E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Birds~69]

2 hours ago, The Iceman said:

stolen from the mid atlantic forum... euro AI EPS trending cooler as well and backs up the OP. It'll be fun to watch until 18z 

 

 

 

 

Does AI understand we have glaciers hanging around and accounts for that (colder temp) or it has nothing to do with it and I'm a idiot?

33F

[Heisy]

18z gfs actually got some light snow to our area. My gut tells me we’ll see the 18z euro Ai take a step back, but man if it gets even better it’ll be get your popcorn ready time.

18z gfs with a 2016-like MECS day 10-11. Winter isn’t over yet

[Heisy]

Not horrible, I actually though H5 looked better than 12z, but it was a slight step back with snow totals

[Heisy]

It also has a nice CAD event around the 23-24th, which is a time period that’s starting to look fun

[RedSky]

Joe Cioffi thinks a cold potentially snowy second half of March

 

[zenmsav6810]

It isn't over ...til it's over!

[Ralph Wiggum]

38 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said:

It isn't over ...til it's over!

Exactly. Some winters you know its over by the 3rd week in January. This has been steady -AO and ridging in the NAO....and those ingredients are exactly what lead to late surprises and long cold dreary March and early Aprils.