E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[ChescoWx]

Some spots today have their first chance at seeing above freezing temperatures. If we fail to reach freezing today it will mark our 11th straight day. This would tie for the 5th longest sub-freezing streak in County history. If we do not top freezing today we have an increasing chance at setting an all-time county record. If we get through next Monday we would set just such a record at 17 days. There were a couple of flurries out there this morning, but we should see some sun this afternoon. Some additional flurries are possible tonight especially across southern areas. A little better shot at some light snow on Friday before yet another strong arctic front sends us back into the freezer for the weekend.

[John18]

Bus stop this morning it felt warmer than what the temp was and my AccuWeather confirmed it. Temp was 21° but real feel was 31°. It was cloudy as well.

What's the reasoning for that?

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[rcostell]

4 hours ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

man, this place is a morgue

Quiet pattern, quiet forum (compared to others).  Not as many enthusiasts post/analyze here in general it seems. 

[rcostell]

2 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

May I suggest you go to the Midwest Forum and hang with our friends Mohammet, Judish, Sidney, and Clayton? 

Ouch

[PhiEaglesfan712]

17 years ago (February 3-4, 2009):

 

[The Iceman]

47 minutes ago, rcostell said:

Quiet pattern, quiet forum (compared to others).  Not as many enthusiasts post/analyze here in general it seems. 

I don't live and die with every model run...especially not the GFS. I check in once or twice a day usually after 12z in quiet periods like this. 11-14th period looks even more interesting today than it did yesterday imo. People also need to stop looking at the shitty GFS... Euro flexes the SE ridge in the day 10 like the GFS but we've seen that be overdone all year long. Euro AI at 6z was close to a decent miller b on the 10-11th followed by 2 more threats after that. Mid month looks like the precip opens up, whether or not we have the cold in place will be TBD, but it will be lurking close by. I don't think the pattern in that timeframe screams all snow, but it definitely looks wintry imo. I also would not sleep on Friday night/sat morning, would not be surprised if someone gets a quick inch or two at all.

[rcostell]

36 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I don't live and die with every model run...especially not the GFS. I check in once or twice a day usually after 12z in quiet periods like this. 11-14th period looks even more interesting today than it did yesterday imo. People also need to stop looking at the shitty GFS... Euro flexes the SE ridge in the day 10 like the GFS but we've seen that be overdone all year long. Euro AI at 6z was close to a decent miller b on the 10-11th followed by 2 more threats after that. Mid month looks like the precip opens up, whether or not we have the cold in place will be TBD, but it will be lurking close by. I don't think the pattern in that timeframe screams all snow, but it definitely looks wintry imo. I also would not sleep on Friday night/sat morning, would not be surprised if someone gets a quick inch or two at all.

Good sane approach... I hope you are right- Thanks 

[JTA66]

We don't have wall-to-wall cold and snowy winters. Even our best winters feature a relaxation period. Right now it looks like our January thaw will occur mid Feb. Where we go from there? I don't know. Maybe winter is over, maybe it reloads.

For now, I'll keep an eye on Friday and hope we score another car topper with cold temps returning for the weekend. Five days at a time.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

4 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

We don't have wall-to-wall cold and snowy winters. Even our best winters feature a relaxation period. Right now it looks like our January thaw will occur mid Feb. Where we go from there? I don't know. Maybe winter is over, maybe it reloads.

For now, I'll keep an eye on Friday and hope we score another car topper with cold temps returning for the weekend. Five days at a time.

Uh, we had a January thaw from about 1/6-1/15:

2026-01-06	45	31	38.0	3.7	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-07	57	38	47.5	13.3	17	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-08	55	34	44.5	10.5	20	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-09	57	31	44.0	10.1	21	0	0.04	0.0	0
2026-01-10	50	43	46.5	12.7	18	0	0.96	0.0	0
2026-01-11	49	36	42.5	8.8	22	0	0.01	0.0	0
2026-01-12	45	30	37.5	3.9	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-13	51	28	39.5	6.0	25	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-14	57	44	50.5	17.1	14	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-01-15	45	25	35.0	1.7	30	0	0.03	T	0

[Birds~69]

Even Weather Underground is a weenie/having snow hallucinations...the sun is out.

Yeah, a small accumulation Friday then a cold period w/the Superbowl Sunday would be a pretty solid winter weekend...