E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[ChescoWx]

We start February as we ended January with well below normal temperatures. I am working on completing the overall Chester County summary for January but at least here in East Nantmeal this January was the 4th coldest and 3rd snowiest across the 23 years I have been recording weather observations at this location. This well below normal stretch of temperatures looks to continue for at least the first 10 days of February. Today will be our 9th straight day with below freezing high temperatures. We do moderate through Tuesday with our best shot at getting above freezing being Tuesday. The current NWS forecast has a high here in EN of 30 degrees. There could be a few light snow chances over the next week with the first potential on Tuesday night a more likely shot by Friday and another chance possibly by next Sunday. For those on Team Snow the good news is February is on average our snowiest month of the year with East Nantmeal averaging 13.3" of snow in a typical 2nd month of the year.

[JTA66]

35 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

ICON. And Nam both have light accumulating snow Wednesday. Rgem has snow showers. Decent start to 12z.

GFS onboard as well (for now).

We’re a snow town!

[Ralph Wiggum]

53 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

GFS onboard as well (for now).

We’re a snow town!

Im ready for a slow thaw. First time since ive lived in my home the pipes in the cellar froze yesterday. Nothing a blow dryer couldn't handle but damn its cold

[Chadzachadam]

Crazy how used to the cold I’ve gotten. Wind chill of 0 this morning felt totally fine. At this rate I’ll be in shorts when we hit 40

[Birds~69]

We need a refresher….only fell once.

20f

 

 

[Hurricane Agnes]

19 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Tinicum Twp is where the Airport is, and PHL had a low of 10 this morning. -12 (or 22 degrees colder) seems impossible, and it would be lower than PHL's lowest ever temperature, which was set in February 1934.

I'd be willing to bet the low is somewhere in between both. 10 seems too high, -12 seems too low.

I had 7F for a low yesterday morning and a 10 this morning.  The reason?  The winds never decoupled here.  Literally had gentle breezes going all Friday night into Saturday morning, from ~1-2 mph with "gusts" of 4 mph.  Kept it from radiating.  Had the same (with higher winds) overnight this past night.

Am currently up to 20 with dp 9.  I noticed that some of snowpack on the southwest side of my house is eroding, am guessing from insolation because it certainly isn't from melting! 

[Lady Di]

Sunny and 24F feels like 2. Wind chimes are singing and seeing a bit of blowing snow. Hawk sighting earlier on my deck.  

[RedSky]

From the National Wildlife refuge at Tinicum ceremony today groundhog Tinicum Tim prognosticated six more weeks of winter

It's on facebook lol

 

[Duca892]

Times are bleak when the MA forums opens a thread for 1-3in of snow 

[Hurricane Agnes]

31 minutes ago, Lady Di said:

Sunny and 24F feels like 2. Wind chimes are singing and seeing a bit of blowing snow. Hawk sighting earlier on my deck.  

Every Sunday, I listen to the recordings (they dub them podcasts but they just record their radio shows) of Andre Viette's "In the Garden" radio show and am usually a couple weeks behind their broadcasts, but still go through them in order and listening to one of the hours this morning, one of the callers was asking about those Cooper Hawks and whether there were more around nowadays versus in the past.  And the response was that they are always generally around but the Cooper's are particularly active in December/January/February. When I used to live in a hi-rise on an upper floor, I had a visit by one who perched right on the balcony rail scoping the area for probably an hour or so.  Then it suddenly dive-bombed right off the balcony and probably snagged a rabbit that I had earlier seen hopping around on the grass at the front of the building 18 stories down! 

Am currently at 23 (my weather station says "Feels like 15.3"), which is the warmest "high" here since January 26.   The dp is still an arctic 10.

[Birds~69]

14 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Times are bleak when the MA forums opens a thread for 1-3in of snow 

I think we did the same for “events” measure in tenths of a inch…

[JTA66]

Beautiful Snow Moon tonight.

[Birds~69]

21 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Beautiful Snow Moon tonight.

Beaver Moon still my favorite…

19f

[Ralph Wiggum]

16 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Beaver Moon still my favorite…

19f

I mean...how could it not be. Us weenies love a little Beaver moon.

[Ralph Wiggum]

I can say this with certainty....we are not finished wrt snowfall for this winter.  Questions now are....clean storm? Thump to taint? Light events? Big storm? 

Im leaning towards a few lighter events and maybe a decent thump to shit as we roll into March. But those folks suggesting we are done just because we are in a cold/dry phase need to sit back and be patient. This season is very different as we have already seen. Analytics suggest a big storm isnt the norm in a Nina, but I wouldnt be surprised if we end with something 'blockbuster', whatever that may be. Things are reloading....buckle up folks.

[Albedoman]

Pattern change  6-12"  2/14-17 time period 

[The Iceman]

I also don’t get the impatience, this winters been great. Most of 95 east is at or above average for the entire season. Relentless cold. If we get a clipper or two these next two weeks then another high qpf system on the rebound this year is a bonafide blockbuster year for most… 

[The Iceman]

Just now, Albedoman said:

Pattern change  6-12"  2/14-17 time period 

As much shit we give you drought guy, you've been pretty good identifying big threats this year in advance. Props where they are earned, I agree the next big qpf event will be in that period on the rebound.

[JTA66]

Y’all know how this place works. If we don’t have a HECS to track every week, winter gets labeled a snooze fest 

[ChescoWx]

Below is the January 2026 Climate Summary for the Philly burbs of Chester County PA Area. This January finished as the 29th coldest with 134 years of climate records. This December/January is the 21st coldest start to a winter season on record. Additionally, we have received well above normal snowfall to date with almost double normal snow to date. East Nantmeal recorded the 15th greatest January snow total and the most since 2016.

[Ralph Wiggum]

9 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I also don’t get the impatience, this winters been great. Most of 95 east is at or above average for the entire season. Relentless cold. If we get a clipper or two these next two weeks then another high qpf system on the rebound this year is a bonafide blockbuster year for most… 

100% friend! I have the winter at a solid B/B+ right now. Only factor not placing this winter into the "A" category is I am at avg snowfall for the season. We've had the cold, we've had the snow cover, we've had the very brief "thaw".....get me above avg snowfall and this winter becomes "A" class.

[Ralph Wiggum]

11 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

As much shit we give you drought guy, you've been pretty good identifying big threats this year in advance. Props where they are earned, I agree the next big qpf event will be in that period on the rebound.

Agreed. Used to joke that this was just another old fart like most of us,  but this gent has taken more notes over the years than most of us combined. 

[The Iceman]

I would also be shocked if we got totally shut out snow wise in February after such a great winter… even in our shittiest shit winters we still usually get something in February. In solid winters like this, it’s almost unheard of.. I would bet on at least another 6” total for most(average). 

[Ralph Wiggum]

I feel like every week since Thanksgiving we have been tracking 'something'. There may have been like a 5 day stretch in early Jan where there was nothing going on, but I know we've been tracking alot just going off of how mentally drained i am this year. Some years im away from this board for weeks at a time. This year there hasn't been a hiatus. Keep it coming!!

[Ralph Wiggum]

Saw this today, thought it was cool. SS Atlantus concrete ship in Cape May:

[ChescoWx]

The Euro with it's 2 snow events for this week. Total model snow we don't need to shovel by Saturday morning.

[Ralph Wiggum]

3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

The Euro with it's 2 snow events for this week. Total model snow we don't need to shovel by Saturday morning.

Se PA jackpot. A real snow town!

[JTA66]

7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Saw this today, thought it was cool. SS Atlantus concrete ship in Cape May:

Can’t visit Cape May without making a pilgrimage to the sunken ship.

[Blizzard of 93]

30 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

Pattern change  6-12"  2/14-17 time period 

18z Euro AI EPS agrees with your assessment.

[Birds~69]

38 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Saw this today, thought it was cool. SS Atlantus concrete ship in Cape May:

Hi resolution, wooden frame, enough to be mounted on the wall worthy. Nice picture…