E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Mikeymac5306]

I would say Turnpike south is a crush job looking at the CMC and Ukie. 

We wait on the Euro. 

[Duca892]

Nice to see some hits but sure looks like this is a MA special 

[Mikeymac5306]

Just now, Duca892 said:

Nice to see some hits but sure looks like this is a MA special 

Yeah they are going nuts in the forum right now.  As they should. 

[ChescoWx]

The Canadian would certainly make snow birds happy...

[Ralph Wiggum]

Allen Iverson euro.is a major hit this weekend.

Then has 2 more mecs next week lol.

[Mikeymac5306]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Allen Iverson euro.is a major hit this weekend.

Then has 2 more mecs next week lol.

That Euro AI run is as almost as good as the Eagles and Phillies winning it all! 

[ChescoWx]

The 12z GFS did come north a bit from it's 6z run....let the north trend begin!! 

[Ralph Wiggum]

WTF

[RedSky]

13 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

That Euro AI run is as almost as good as the Eagles and Phillies winning it all! 

Or the Flyers first time since the 70's

[Mikeymac5306]

8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

WTF

Quagmire is already on the mound. Patton is warming up in the bullpen. 

[zenmsav6810]

11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

WTF

Crush job for Monmouth county and Fairfax, VA... bet it verifies. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

12z Ukie 10:1 & Kuchera (pick your poison).

[Ralph Wiggum]

Euro ticked N. Decent signal.

[Hurricane Agnes]

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro ticked N. Decent signal.

The regular EC is still running but below is the EC AI - 

[yankeex777]

I have not been following this weekends storm threat because I’m on vacay. I get back this Sunday, arriving into Philly at 12pm as of now. Am i cooked?  What’s the timing for this storm?

[Mikeymac5306]

Guess the best thing to come out of the 12z runs is the fact that there is a storm there shown on all the models. No hugging one wishing the others catch on. 

We watch for another day and by 18z Wednesday we start to dial in. 

Below is how I have felt the last 2 hours of model watching today.

 

[Newman]

If we take into account *probable* ratios, the Euro now has 6-8" extending up to Berks and Lehigh. And I don't think this is done shifting north. Even as is, I think most south of I-78 would take and roll the dice for a different jack with the next storm systems 

[ChescoWx]

24 minutes ago, Newman said:

If we take into account *probable* ratios, the Euro now has 6-8" extending up to Berks and Lehigh. And I don't think this is done shifting north. Even as is, I think most south of I-78 would take and roll the dice for a different jack with the next storm systems 

Suspect the ratios if it happens would indeed be high so the Kuchy maps may be more accurate....

[Newman]

This was a great shift north on the NAEFS from 0z to 12z. I've found that the NAEFS are just as useful as some of our other ensembles because they take the CMC and GFS guidance combined. It's sorta like a North American specific grand ensemble.