Hurricane Agnes Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:56 PM 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: I didn't even notice, I thought we did. My last below freezing low was on Tues. (1/6) with a 29. Yesterday's low 37 and this morning's low was 39 here in NW Philly. Made it up to 53 yesterday but "only" 51 today and current temp is 42 with dp 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 12:54 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:54 AM Low in Media last night was briefly 33f. Currently it is 36f surprisingly pretty chilly considering it was fairly warm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 12:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:59 AM Geese were flying due East today....lots of them. What's that all about? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted yesterday at 02:12 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:12 AM 29.5° as of 9 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 03:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:53 AM 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Geese were flying due East today....lots of them. What's that all about? They are getting ready to chase the storms out to sea next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted yesterday at 08:43 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:43 AM 7 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Geese were flying due East today....lots of them. What's that all about? Same here. And there was about a hundred or so pecking at the grass on a baseball field at a local high school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted yesterday at 10:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:25 AM GFS is really really really trying for next week…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted yesterday at 11:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:01 AM On 1/7/2026 at 1:49 PM, LVblizzard said: Booked a ski trip to Vermont after MLK Day so expect an I-95 special around 1/20-1/23. That’s how it works, right? Probably not because I'm going to Vermont 1/25-1/27. So, if there's one when you're away, there has to be one when I'm not away, which has close to 0% chance of happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:54 PM Mild temperatures continue today with rain chances increasing this afternoon. A brief break in the rain tonight before we turn chillier with more rain tomorrow into Saturday night. Temperatures turn colder after Sunday with temperatures not too far from normal for mid-January before trending much colder by the end of next week into the weekend. We could see between 0.75” to 1” of rain tomorrow night. Winter weather opportunities start to ramp up by later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 03:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:42 PM 6 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Same here. And there was about a hundred or so pecking at the grass on a baseball field at a local high school. Always observed that when you see geese gathering and eating together that snow is about 2 weeks away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted yesterday at 04:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:27 PM 12Z GFS is like a 200-225mi treck west for next week on a massive snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted yesterday at 04:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:38 PM GFS hits us for the 2nd storm and close call on the 1st! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 04:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:59 PM Drink up kids! This is gonna be a fun week ahead! Hopefully.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 05:13 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:13 PM Lots of potential for that 1/17-1/19 timeframe. Especially if that midweek storm threat fizzles and gets out of the way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 05:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:44 PM Plenty of storms and rumours of storms coming up....give me the cold and one of these waves will sharpen just enough for a winter "event" or 2.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted yesterday at 08:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:44 PM Incoming rain junk heading in. Dark-gloomy-ominous looking clouds outside... 50F/Going to be a raw night/Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Philly smacked on the gfs next week 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Philly smacked on the gfs next week how much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Philly smacked on the gfs next week See I told you the 18z gfs 1/9/26 would be 100% different at 0z! So, where is the cold high up north? Hmm I mean however a 983mb storm would manufacture its own cold air. Let’s go!!! Now back on the ground I need to see this at least for 6 runs on at least 3 different models before I do the snowy dance. It’s a shame the gfs is on an island by itself. I’m not buying it, but fun to look at and reminisce about winters of the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 3 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: See I told you the 18z gfs 1/9/26 would be 100% different at 0z! So, where is the cold high up north? Hmm I mean however a 983mb storm would manufacture its own cold air. Let’s go!!! Now back on the ground I need to see this at least for 6 runs on at least 3 different models before I do the snowy dance. It’s a shame the gfs is on an island by itself. I’m not buying it, but fun to look at and reminisce about winters of the past. I posted this on the 12/27 Winter is going to take a brief break after this BS first of the year storm of only 1-3 inches if we are really lucky. I see no snowstorms until after the 15th and it will warm up into the upper 40's to 50's . I do think we will pay the piper for this brief warm up by Marin Luther Kings day-- seems to be the pattern the last 5 years. All I can say is the drought situation in our area is only going to worsen as the Gulf storm production is shut down for business. Believe me, dried up wells and sinkhole formation with dropping groundwater tables with waterline breaks galore will be the talk of the town in the next three weeks as the ground starts to thaw out with what little moisture is in it. The base flows of the creeks will begin to drop again too. We really need a 96 type of storm event asap. Still holding-------- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago After seeing the 3 major ens systems, pretty safe to say the gfs op was on acid that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago I mean 6z gfs at least has something for January 15th just weaker 995 mb instead of 983 mb more realistic later to develop and much more progressive. At least we still have something to track! It’s definitely not dead yet! Lots of moving pieces but if we are to get something significant we need both jet streams to play and a block to slow things down to allow that to happen. I think reality though is basically it’s going to get colder but stay progressive unfortunately with a quick hit of snow. if you’re looking for the crusher this pattern right now probably isn’t it. Let’s see what happens though. I’ll play the patience card and watch NFL playoff football and hope my Eagles and fantasy playoff team can deliver in the meantime! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago The Euro has been ticking slowly to the GFS for the 15-16th deal. We really need the southern vort to not get stuck behind the northern energy or else you get destructive wave interference. The 6z Euro jumped closer to better phasing and more favorable orientation. Continue watching for now, I don't think we've seen the final solution yet (for better or for worse). The 0z GFS was bonkers and probably the ceiling lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Newman said: The Euro has been ticking slowly to the GFS for the 15-16th deal. We really need the southern vort to not get stuck behind the northern energy or else you get destructive wave interference. The 6z Euro jumped closer to better phasing and more favorable orientation. Continue watching for now, I don't think we've seen the final solution yet (for better or for worse). The 0z GFS was bonkers and probably the ceiling lol Definitely an improved look on the euro. I wonder why the ens are all so meh with this. Nary a hint. Even 500mb means haven't moved. They've all been sold on weak sauce, late developing, and/or way ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 25 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Definitely an improved look on the euro. I wonder why the ens are all so meh with this. Nary a hint. Even 500mb means haven't moved. They've all been sold on weak sauce, late developing, and/or way ots. I think having a 51 member ensemble will inherently result in a pretty smoothed look over what is a fickle setup and truly boom or bust. However, even a few more ticks towards the GFS on the Euro ENS will probably start to yield at least some light upper level snows. Ride the ensembles though, them having nothing shows the low probability of this happening until we see more support 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Remember last February where the models were showing a HECS in the 120-160hour range, and then they completely backed off in literally like one model cycle after it was clear the massive TPV wasn't going to phase properly with our southern vort? That's what could happen again here, but maybe we trend more favorably? Just have to watch it play out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 35 minutes ago, Newman said: I think having a 51 member ensemble will inherently result in a pretty smoothed look over what is a fickle setup and truly boom or bust. However, even a few more ticks towards the GFS on the Euro ENS will probably start to yield at least some light upper level snows. Ride the ensembles though, them having nothing shows the low probability of this happening until we see more support I apologize, I was talking about the individual members, not the means. Not a whole lot of support with them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I apologize, I was talking about the individual members, not the means. Not a whole lot of support with them. Admittedly I hadn't looked at the individual ensembles until now. You're right, the 0z Euro only had maybe 4 indis that even showed a coastal scraper. Haven't seen the 6z yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago The 6z GFS before it dissapears at 12z 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, Newman said: Remember last February where the models were showing a HECS in the 120-160hour range, and then they completely backed off in literally like one model cycle after it was clear the massive TPV wasn't going to phase properly with our southern vort? That's what could happen again here, but maybe we trend more favorably? Just have to watch it play out You're full of good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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